Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom — Ekstraklasa: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 2′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Foul
- 10′Radomiak Radom, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 17′Pogon Szczecin, goal:1–1
- 25′Radomiak Radom, goal:1–2
- 37′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 41′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Foul
- 45+3′Pogon Szczecin, goal:2–2
- Half-time2 – 2
- 46′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 49′Pogon Szczecin, goal:3–2assist
- 55′Pogon Szczecin, goal:4–2
- 60′Radomiak Radom, substitution:off
- 60′Radomiak Radom, substitution:off
- 64′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 73′Radomiak Radom, substitution:off
- 73′Radomiak Radom, substitution:off
- 74′Radomiak Radom, goal:4–3assist
- 78′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 78′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 85′Radomiak Radom, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 88′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Argument
- 88′Radomiak Radom, yellow card:Argument
- 89′Radomiak Radom, red card:Violent conduct
- 89′Radomiak Radom, VAR review:Card upgrade confirmed
- 90+7′Radomiak Radom, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 3
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Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
Match report
Pogon Szczecin beat Radomiak Radom 4-3 in seven-goal Ekstraklasa thriller
Pogon Szczecin won a seven-goal Ekstraklasa matchday 12 contest 4-3 against Radomiak Radom at the Florian-Krygier-Stadion, coming from behind twice. Roberto Alves put the visitors ahead from the penalty spot in the 10th minute, and Dimitris Keramitsis levelled for the hosts in the 17th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Christos Donis restored Radomiak's lead in the 25th minute, but Alessandro Riccio equalised in first-half stoppage time, in the 45+3 minute, to make it 2-2 at the break. Kamil Grosicki then took charge after the restart, scoring in the 49th minute from Paul Mukairu's assist and again in the 55th to make it 4-2.
Jan Grzesik pulled one back for Radomiak in the 74th minute, set up by Fernand Gouré, and the visitors pressed for an equaliser. Ibrahima Camará was sent off in the 89th minute, leaving Radomiak with ten men. Pogon have now won five games in a row, while Radomiak have lost five in a row. Both sides play on Saturday 31 October: Pogon away to Raków Częstochowa, Radomiak at home to Slask Wroclaw.
Kamil Grosicki scored twice, in the 49th and 55th minutes, to turn a 2-2 scoreline into a two-goal lead, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 7.99.
Radomiak Radom had 16 shots to Pogon Szczecin's nine, yet still lost the match.
Pogon Szczecin beat Radomiak Radom 4–3 (half-time 2–2).
Pogon Szczecin met Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:30 UTC at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Referee: Bartosz Frankowski.
Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Radomiak Radom · Ekstraklasa
Key moments
- 10' Goal (penalty): Roberto Alves — 0–1
- 17' Goal: Dimitris Keramitsis — 1–1
- 25' Goal: Christos Donis — 1–2
- 45+3' Goal: Alessandro Riccio — 2–2
- 49' Goal: Kamil Grosicki (assist: Paul Mukairu) — 3–2
- 55' Goal: Kamil Grosicki — 4–2
- 74' Goal: Jan Grzesik (assist: Fernand Gouré) — 4–3
- 89' Red card: Ibrahima Camará
Starting line-ups
Pogon Szczecin (4-2-3-1)
Radomiak Radom (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Filip Majchrowicz
- 97 Conrado
- 72 Filip Koperski
- 14 Steve Kingue
- 24 Zié Ouattara
- 77 Christos Donis
- 10 Roberto Alves
- 90 Ronaldo Afonso
- 27 Rafał Wolski (c)
- 13 Jan Grzesik
- 80 Guilherme Luiz
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Pogon Szczecin 64%, the draw 20%, Radomiak Radom 16%. It finished Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom.
Strength gap puts Pogon Szczecin clearly ahead — We give Pogon Szczecin 64% mainly because our strength rating has them 166 points higher, 1575 to 1409, though Radomiak Radom's poor finishing pulls slightly the other way, as cold streaks like theirs have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with that finishing streak nudging it down and a typical scoring level nudging it up.
Why Pogon Szczecin at 64%?
Pogon Szczecin sit 166 points higher on our strength rating — 1575 to 1409. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,053 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–24–17.
Why only 64%?
Radomiak Radom sit -0.59 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,932 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Radomiak Radom have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Pogon Szczecin in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Radomiak Radom have shed 79 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,359 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ekstraklasa fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Radomiak Radom. Explore more on the Pogon Szczecin and Radomiak Radom team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.