Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock — Ekstraklasa: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEkstraklasa TVYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Wisla Plock, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 58′Wisla Plock, substitution:off
- 59′Jagiellonia, substitution:off
- 59′Jagiellonia, substitution:off
- 71′Jagiellonia, substitution:off
- 80′Jagiellonia, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 82′Wisla Plock, substitution:off
- 82′Wisla Plock, substitution:off
- 82′Wisla Plock, substitution:off
- 83′Jagiellonia, goal:1–0assist
- 89′Jagiellonia, substitution:off
- 89′Jagiellonia, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
Match report
Sow's late strike gives Jagiellonia win over Wisla Plock
Jagiellonia beat Wisla Plock 1-0 in the Ekstraklasa on Matchday 12, with Ousmane Sow's goal in the 83rd minute settling a match that had been goalless at half-time. The result ended a run of heavy defeats for the hosts and lifted them out of the lower reaches of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jagiellonia dominated the contest, taking 21 shots to 7 and winning eight corners to three, yet it took until the closing stages to separate the sides. Wisla Plock, managed by Adam Majewski, kept the margin narrow and matched the hosts with four shots on target apiece, but could not find an equaliser.
The decisive moment came when Kajetan Szmyt supplied the pass for Sow to score, putting the home side 1-0 up with seven minutes of normal time left. Jagiellonia, managed by Adrian Siemieniec, went into the game having lost four of their previous five matches in all competitions, including a 3-0 home defeat by Anderlecht in their last outing.
The win moved Jagiellonia from 12th to 10th on 15 points, one point and one place above Wisla Plock, who dropped from 10th to 11th on 14 points. Both sides are in action next on Saturday 31 October in the Ekstraklasa: Jagiellonia travel to Wieczysta Kraków, while Wisla Plock host Piast Gliwice.
Michał Perchel earned the highest rating of any player, 8.03, for his work in a winning home display. Ousmane Sow, rated 7.94, scored the only goal, while Kajetan Szmyt, at 7.46, provided the assist.
Jagiellonia outshot their opponents by 21 attempts to 7, even though each side managed four shots on target.
Jagiellonia beat Wisla Plock 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Jagiellonia met Wisla Plock in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:45 UTC at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Referee: Damian Kos.
Team pages: Jagiellonia · Wisla Plock · Ekstraklasa
Key moments
- 83' Goal: Ousmane Sow (assist: Kajetan Szmyt) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Jagiellonia (4-2-3-1)
Wisla Plock (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Jagiellonia 55%, the draw 23%, Wisla Plock 22%. It finished Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock.
Jagiellonia's stronger rating, with Wisla Plock due a lift — We give Jagiellonia 55% mainly because they sit 88 points higher on our strength rating, 1523 to 1435, though Wisla Plock's cold finishing pulls a little the other way, as streaks like theirs have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 23%, just below the usual 25% for a gap this size, trimmed by that finishing streak and by the teams' recent games averaging 3.0 goals.
Why Jagiellonia at 55%?
Jagiellonia sit 88 points higher on our strength rating — 1523 to 1435. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,340 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–24–18.
Why only 55%?
Wisla Plock sit -0.33 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,943 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,185. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Jagiellonia have shed 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,371 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last five: Jagiellonia L-L-W-L-L, Wisla Plock D-W-W-L-W — Wisla Plock are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2027 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3922 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ekstraklasa fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla Plock. Explore more on the Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.