Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin — Ekstraklasa: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEkstraklasa TVYouTubeMatch Events
- 5′Pogon Szczecin, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Raków Częstochowa, yellow card:Foul
- 40′Raków Częstochowa, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 45+2′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 47′Raków Częstochowa, goal:1–1assist
- 57′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:offIsaiah·Eichie
- 59′Raków Częstochowa, substitution:off
- 60′Raków Częstochowa, substitution:off
- 62′Raków Częstochowa, yellow card:Dissent
- 64′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Raków Częstochowa, substitution:off
- 71′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 71′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 73′Raków Częstochowa, goal:2–1assist
- 78′Pogon Szczecin, yellow card:Dissent
- 79′Raków Częstochowa, substitution:off
- 79′Raków Częstochowa, substitution:off
- 85′Pogon Szczecin, substitution:off
- 90′Pogon Szczecin, red card:Foul
- 90+4′Pogon Szczecin, red card:
- 90+7′Raków Częstochowa, goal:3–1
- Full-time3 – 1
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Key Stats
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Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
Match report
Raków Częstochowa come from behind to beat ten-man Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa won 3-1 at home to Pogon Szczecin in Ekstraklasa matchday 13, recovering from an early deficit to end the visitors' run of 10 games unbeaten. Darko Churlinov gave Pogon the lead in the fifth minute, converting a Jan Biegański assist, and the visitors took that advantage into the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Raków levelled within two minutes of the restart. Patryk Makuch scored in the 47th minute from a Mahir Emreli assist, and the home side kept up the pressure. Bogdan Racovițan put them ahead in the 73rd minute, finishing from Erick Otieno's assist, to make it 2-1.
The closing stages brought the drama. Pogon had Lukas Willen sent off in the 90th minute and Valentin Cojocaru followed in the 90+4 minute, leaving the visitors with nine men. Tomasz Pieńko then added a third for Raków in the 90+7 minute, sealing the victory.
The result lifted Raków from 18th to 17th, on nine points, while Pogon stayed fourth with 24. Pogon travel to Widzew Łódź in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday, and Raków visit Legia Warszawa the following day.
Makuch had the highest rating among the top performers at 8.1, scoring the equaliser at the start of the second half. Racovițan, rated 7.81, got the winner in the 73rd minute.
Raków had 18 shots to Pogon's 8, a gap that reflected how heavily they controlled the match after the break.
Raków Częstochowa beat Pogon Szczecin 3–1 (half-time 0–1).
Raków Częstochowa met Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off was Monday, 2 November 2026, 19:30 UTC at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie. Referee: Szymon Marciniak.
Team pages: Raków Częstochowa · Pogon Szczecin · Ekstraklasa
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Darko Churlinov (assist: Jan Biegański) — 0–1
- 47' Goal: Patryk Makuch (assist: Mahir Emreli) — 1–1
- 73' Goal: Bogdan Racovițan (assist: Erick Otieno) — 2–1
- 90' Red card: Lukas Willen
- 90+4' Red card: Valentin Cojocaru
- 90+7' Goal: Tomasz Pieńko — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Raków Częstochowa (3-4-3)
Pogon Szczecin (4-4-2)
- 77 Valentin Cojocaru
- 29 Lukas Willen
- 41 Attila Szalai
- 13 Dimitris Keramitsis
- 20 Isaiah·Eichie
- 18 Paul Mukairu
- 6 Jan Biegański
- 3 Kellyn Acosta
- 21 Darko Churlinov
- 35 Maciej Wojciechowski
- 22 Jordi Sánchez
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Raków Częstochowa 36%, the draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 38%. It finished Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Pogon Szczecin.
Pogon's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — Our strength rating has Pogon Szczecin 87 points higher, 1579 to 1493, so we give them 38% to Raków Częstochowa's 36%, with Raków's usual control of the ball pulling the other way. The draw sits at 26%, a little under the usual 28% for this gap, as both sides' recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Pogon Szczecin at 38%?
Pogon Szczecin sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1579 to 1493. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,861 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 40–28–32.
Why only 38%?
Raków Częstochowa hold 13 more possession points (56 to 43 in recent games) across a 87-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,340 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,566. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Pogon Szczecin scored +0.44 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,220 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Raków Częstochowa have shed 86 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,422 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ekstraklasa fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Raków Częstochowa 3–1 Pogon Szczecin. Explore more on the Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.