Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow — Ekstraklasa: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEkstraklasa TVYouTubeMatch Events
- 54′Lech Poznan, goal:1–0assist
- 56′Wisla Krakow, goal:1–1assist
- 57′Lech Poznan, goal:2–1assist
- 64′Lech Poznan, goal:3–1assist
- 65′Wisla Krakow, substitution:off
- 65′Wisla Krakow, substitution:off
- 67′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 73′Wisla Krakow, substitution:off
- 76′Wisla Krakow, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 80′Wisla Krakow, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 81′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 81′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- 88′Wisla Krakow, substitution:Oliwier Plawinskioff
- 90+3′Lech Poznan, substitution:Eryk Śledzińskioff
- 90+3′Lech Poznan, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
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Lech Poznan
Wisla Krakow
Match report
Lech Poznan beat Wisla Krakow 3-1 to extend Ekstraklasa lead
Lech Poznan beat Wisla Krakow 3-1 at Stadion Miejski on Matchday 13 of the Ekstraklasa, three second-half goals carrying the leaders to victory after a goalless first half. The result left Niels Frederiksen's side top of the table on 31 points from 12 games, ten clear of sixth-placed Wisla.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 54th minute, when Antoni Kozubal scored from Leo Bengtsson's assist. Wisla answered almost at once, Jakub Krzyżanowski levelling in the 56th minute after a pass from Frederico Duarte. The visitors' equaliser lasted barely a minute, as Patrik Wålemark restored Lech's lead in the 57th, set up by Pablo Rodríguez.
Yannick Agnero made it 3-1 in the 64th minute, converting Radosław Murawski's assist, and Lech held that advantage to the end. Lech had 19 shots to Wisla's 16, with eight on target to three, and won the corner count 7 to 2. Lech's next game is away to Benfica in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, while Wisla host Cracovia Krakow in the Ekstraklasa on Friday.
Yannick Agnero scored Lech's third goal and was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 8.13. Kozubal and Wålemark, who also scored, were rated 7.86 and 7.84 respectively.
Lech put eight of their 19 shots on target, while Wisla managed three from their 16.
Lech Poznan beat Wisla Krakow 3–1 (half-time 0–0).
Lech Poznan met Wisla Krakow in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Stadion Miejski. Referee: Pawel Raczkowski.
Team pages: Lech Poznan · Wisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa
Key moments
- 54' Goal: Antoni Kozubal (assist: Leo Bengtsson) — 1–0
- 56' Goal: Jakub Krzyżanowski (assist: Frederico Duarte) — 1–1
- 57' Goal: Patrik Wålemark (assist: Pablo Rodríguez) — 2–1
- 64' Goal: Yannick Agnero (assist: Radosław Murawski) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Lech Poznan (4-2-3-1)
Wisla Krakow (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lech Poznan 67%, the draw 19%, Wisla Krakow 14%. It finished Lech Poznan 3–1 Wisla Krakow.
Strength gap puts Lech Poznan clearly in front — We give Lech Poznan 67% mainly because our strength rating has them 193 points higher, 1675 to 1482, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 19%, close to the usual draw rate of about 20% for a strength gap this size, with nothing listed moving it.
Why Lech Poznan at 67%?
Lech Poznan sit 193 points higher on our strength rating — 1675 to 1482. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–18–12.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Wisla Krakow at 14%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247.
What did we measure but not count?
Lech Poznan scored +0.52 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Wisla Krakow have gained 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,971 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lech Poznan vs Wisla Krakow final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ekstraklasa fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lech Poznan 3–1 Wisla Krakow. Explore more on the Lech Poznan and Wisla Krakow team pages or the Ekstraklasa page.

