Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc — Brasileirão Série A: stats, lineups & analysis
Highlightsge tvYouTubeMatch Events
- -5′Bahia, yellow card:Argument
- 9′Bahia, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 12′Bahia, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 34′Bahia, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:offBruno Matias
- 46′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 63′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 63′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 64′Bahia, yellow card:Argument
- 67′Bahia, substitution:off
- 67′Bahia, substitution:off
- 79′Bahia, substitution:off
- 80′Bahia, substitution:off
- 81′Chapecoense-sc, substitution:off
- 87′Bahia, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Match report
Bahia race into early lead to see off Chapecoense-sc
Bahia beat Chapecoense-sc 2-0 at Arena Fonte Nova in round four of the Brasileirão Série A, with both goals coming inside the opening 34 minutes to settle the contest long before half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Rodrigo Nestor opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 12th minute, converting to put the home side ahead. Bahia doubled their advantage shortly after the half-hour mark when Roman Gomez finished off a move set up by David Duarte's assist in the 34th minute, leaving the score at 2-0 at the interval, where it remained until full time.
Bahia dominated territorially, holding 65 percent of possession and outshooting their visitors 17 to 10, with six efforts on target compared to two for Chapecoense-sc. That control was reflected in the underlying numbers, with the hosts racking up an expected goals figure of 1.83 against just 0.41 for the away side, who managed only six corners to Bahia's ten.
Roman Gomez scored the second goal and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 7.9, with Rodrigo Nestor's penalty conversion also drawing praise for a 7.7 mark.
Bahia's 65 percent share of possession underlined how thoroughly they controlled proceedings against Chapecoense-sc.
Bahia beat Chapecoense-sc 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Bahia met Chapecoense-sc in the Brasileirão Série A (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Friday, 17 July 2026, 22:30 UTC at Arena Fonte Nova. Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva.
Team pages: Bahia · Chapecoense-sc · Brasileirão Série A
Key moments
- 12' Goal (penalty): Rodrigo Nestor — 1–0
- 34' Goal: Roman Gomez (assist: David Duarte) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Bahia (4-3-3)
- 1 Ronaldo
- 66 Zé Guilherme
- 21 Santiago Ramos Mingo
- 33 David Duarte
- 31 Roman Gomez
- 11 Rodrigo Nestor
- 5 Nicolás Acevedo
- 14 Erick (c)
- 16 Erick Pulga
- 12 Willian José
- 7 Ademir
Chapecoense-sc (4-2-3-1)
- 30 Matheus
- 91 Bruno Pacheco
- 3 Eduardo Doma
- 15 Rafael Thyere (c)
- 2 Marcos Vinícius
- 27 Camilo
- 16 Bruno Matias
- 7 Marcinho
- 10 Giovanni Augusto
- 97 Ênio
- 11 Yannick Bolasie
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bahia 78%, the draw 19%, Chapecoense-sc 3%. It finished Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Bahia's rating gap decides it — Bahia are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Brasileirão Série A home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Bahia. The draw at 19% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Bahia at 78%?
Bahia sit 310 points higher on our strength rating — 1654 to 1345. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,011 such games. Brasileirão Série A home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm) and away wins (24.8% vs 30.2%). Brasileirão Série A homes won 48.3% of 4,358 games vs 44.9% across all 98,207 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–18–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 78% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Chapecoense-sc at 3%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,570. Brasileirão Série A runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Bahia average 17 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 310 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Bahia are missing 1 regular starter — Luciano Juba — about 16% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Brasileirão Série A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Explore more on the Bahia and Chapecoense-sc team pages or the Brasileirão Série A page.