San Jose Earthquakes vs 23.07.26 02:300 – 4Full Time
Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Orlando City rout San Jose Earthquakes with four-goal display
Orlando City SC thrashed San Jose Earthquakes 4-0 in a Major League Soccer Regular Season - 18 fixture at PayPal Park, a result that lifts the visitors while deepening the hosts' troubles near the bottom of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
D. Brekalo opened the scoring in the seventh minute, converting an Eduard Atuesta assist, before Iván Angulo doubled the lead in the 29th minute from another Atuesta pass, sending Orlando in at the break 2-0 ahead. San Jose could not stem the tide after the restart, and Antoine Griezmann struck three minutes into the second half, finished off by Justin Ellis, to make it 3-0.
Braian Ojeda completed the scoring in the 73rd minute, again set up by Atuesta, to seal a 4-0 win. San Jose committed 19 fouls to Orlando's 10 as frustration grew, while both sides managed seven shots on target apiece despite Orlando's four-goal return.
Goalkeeper Maxime Crépeau earned the highest rating of the match at 8.7 despite recording no goals or assists, while Ojeda and Brekalo each contributed a goal and rated 8.3 for the visitors.
San Jose's 19 fouls to Orlando's 10 reflected the home side's struggle to contain their opponents' attacking movement.
Orlando City SC won 4–0 away against San Jose Earthquakes (half-time 0–2).
San Jose Earthquakes met Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 16). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 02:30 UTC at PayPal Park. Referee: Elijio Arreguin.
Team pages: San Jose Earthquakes · Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 7' Goal: David Brekalo (assist: Eduard Atuesta) — 0–1
- 29' Goal: Iván Angulo (assist: Eduard Atuesta) — 0–2
- 48' Goal: Antoine Griezmann (assist: Justin Ellis) — 0–3 · Watch Antoine Griezmann's goal video (48')
- 73' Goal: Braian Ojeda (assist: Eduard Atuesta) — 0–4
Starting line-ups
San Jose Earthquakes (4-2-3-1)
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
- 71 Maxime Crépeau
- 3 Adrián Marín
- 3 A. Gomez
- 6 Robin Jansson (c)
- 4 David Brekalo
- 24 Griffin Dorsey
- 11 Tiago
- 20 Eduard Atuesta
- 8 Braian Ojeda
- 77 Iván Angulo
- 22 Justin Ellis
- 7 Antoine Griezmann
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave San Jose Earthquakes 59%, the draw 21%, Orlando City SC 20%. It finished San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC.
A slight rating edge to San Jose Earthquakes, little else — San Jose Earthquakes are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus Orlando City SC's hot finishing due to cool on top give San Jose Earthquakes a clear lead. The draw at 21% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why San Jose Earthquakes at 59%?
San Jose Earthquakes sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1622 to 1562. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,263 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.5% of 5,024 games vs 44.9% across all 98,229 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Orlando City SC scored +0.46 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.2% of 1,410 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and Orlando City SC at 20%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 4.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,692. The cool-off factor takes 2.4 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Jose Earthquakes scored +0.66 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.3% of 1,429 games, vs 28.0% against normal finishing. Last 6 between them: San Jose Earthquakes 1 win, 2 draws, Orlando City SC 3 wins. Most recently San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Orlando City SC, 2 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5553 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from San Jose Earthquakes 0–4 Orlando City SC. Explore more on the San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
