FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 24′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–0
- 38′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 59′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 61′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 61′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:
- 73′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 73′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 75′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- 77′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 77′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 83′Seattle Sounders, goal:1–1assist
- 89′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 89′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 90+1′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
Match report
FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders — the facts
FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
FC Cincinnati met Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Drew Fischer.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Evander — 1–0
- 83' Goal: Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (assist: Albert Rusnák) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
- 18 Roman Celentano
- 88 A. Chirila
- 12 Miles Robinson
- 11 Samuel Gidi
- 29 Bryan Ramírez
- 27 Brian Anunga
- 10 Evander (c)
- 22 Gerardo Valenzuela
- 66 Ender Echenique
- 16 Tom Barlow
- 17 Kenji Mboma Dem
Seattle Sounders (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 53%, the draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 23%. It finished FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
A slight rating edge to FC Cincinnati, little else — FC Cincinnati are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives FC Cincinnati the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why FC Cincinnati at 53%?
FC Cincinnati sit 71 points higher on our strength rating — 1636 to 1565. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,369 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,101 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 53%?
Seattle Sounders sit -0.61 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.6% of 1,312 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally. FC Cincinnati scored +0.89 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.5% of 1,463 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,189 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Seattle Sounders have shed 164 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.6% of 9,638 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders team pages or the Major League Soccer page.

