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FC Cincinnati vs 22.08.26 23:301 – 1Full Time
Seattle Sounders — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
FC Cincinnati met Seattle Sounders in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Drew Fischer.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Seattle Sounders · Major League Soccer
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 53%, the draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 23%. It finished FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders.
A slight rating edge to FC Cincinnati, little else — FC Cincinnati are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top gives FC Cincinnati the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
FC Cincinnati sit 71 points higher on our strength rating — 1636 to 1565. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,369 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,101 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Seattle Sounders sit -0.61 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.6% of 1,312 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally. FC Cincinnati scored +0.89 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.5% of 1,463 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
FC Cincinnati have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,189 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Seattle Sounders have shed 164 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.6% of 9,638 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders team pages or the Major League Soccer page.
FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Evander (24') for FC Cincinnati; Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (83') for Seattle Sounders.
Goal highlights and video clips from FC Cincinnati 1–1 Seattle Sounders are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders have met 3 times — 1 win for FC Cincinnati, 1 win for Seattle Sounders and 1 draw.