Inter Miami vs Toronto FC — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 26′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 37′Toronto FC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 53′Inter Miami, yellow card:Foul
- 58′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 59′Toronto FC, goal:0–1assist
- 62′Toronto FC, goal:0–2
- 65′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 73′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 73′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 73′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 77′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 82′Inter Miami, goal:1–2assist
- 86′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 87′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 90+5′Inter Miami, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
Match report
Inter Miami vs Toronto FC — the facts
Toronto FC won 2–1 away against Inter Miami (half-time 0–0).
Inter Miami met Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 21). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Nu Stadium. Referee: Ismail Elfath.
Team pages: Inter Miami · Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 59' Goal: Josh Sargent (assist: Dániel Sallói) — 0–1 · Watch Josh Sargent's goal video (59')
- 62' Goal: Derrick Etienne — 0–2 · Watch Derrick Etienne's goal video (62')
- 82' Goal: Lionel Messi (assist: Rodrigo De Paul) — 1–2 · Watch Lionel Messi's goal video (82')
Starting line-ups
Inter Miami (4-3-2-1)
Toronto FC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Inter Miami 84%, the draw 13%, Toronto FC 3%. It finished Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FC.
Inter Miami's rating gap decides it — Inter Miami are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage on top makes it one-sided for Inter Miami. The draw at 13% is down from the usual 14.7% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Inter Miami at 84%?
Inter Miami sit 339 points higher on our strength rating — 1767 to 1428. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,077 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,101 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 77–15–8.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 84% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 13% and Toronto FC at 3%.
Why is the draw only 13%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter Miami average 8 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 339 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Inter Miami are missing 3 regular starters — Yannick Bright, Micael, Rodrigo De Paul — about 39% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Inter Miami vs Toronto FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Josh Sargent's goal against Inter Miami (59').
- Watch Derrick Etienne's goal against Inter Miami (62').
- Watch Lionel Messi's goal against Toronto FC (82').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Inter Miami 1–2 Toronto FC. Explore more on the Inter Miami and Toronto FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.