Orlando City SC vs San Diego — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 28′Orlando City SC, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 51′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 66′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 66′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 75′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 75′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 79′San Diego, substitution:off
- 84′San Diego, yellow card:
- 85′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- 90+2′San Diego, substitution:off
- 90+4′San Diego, yellow card:
- 90+8′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- 90+9′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
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Orlando City SC
San Diego
Match report
Griezmann strike gives Orlando City slender win over San Diego
Orlando City SC beat San Diego 1-0 in a Major League Soccer regular-season fixture at Exploria Stadium, with the only goal arriving before the interval to settle a contest that stayed level for the remainder of the ninety minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Antoine Griezmann broke the deadlock in the 28th minute, converting after being set up by Justin Ellis, and that goal proved decisive as Orlando took a 1-0 lead into half-time and held it through to the final whistle.
Despite yielding 53 per cent of possession to San Diego, Orlando were the more direct side going forward, firing 15 shots to their visitors' seven and forcing five efforts on target compared with two from San Diego. The result lifts Orlando off the bottom reaches of the table, while San Diego, who had arrived in decent recent form, slip to a defeat that halts their momentum.
Griezmann scored the game's only goal and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.75 mark.
Orlando's 15 shots to San Diego's seven underlined their greater threat in front of goal despite having less of the ball.
Orlando City SC beat San Diego 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Orlando City SC met San Diego in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 23). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 23:30 UTC at Exploria Stadium. Referee: Joe Dickerson. Attendance: 19,007.
Team pages: Orlando City SC · San Diego · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 28' Goal: Antoine Griezmann (assist: Justin Ellis) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Orlando City SC (4-4-2)
San Diego (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Orlando City SC 46%, the draw 26%, San Diego 28%. It finished Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego.
Level sides, home ground swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Major League Soccer home advantage plus San Diego's hot finishing due to cool give Orlando City SC the lean. The draw at 26% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why Orlando City SC in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1589 to 1607. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,887 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.2%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.4% of 5,132 games vs 44.9% across all 99,727 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. San Diego scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,473 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. San Diego hold 8 more possession points (60 to 52 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.2% across 5,567 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. The cool-off factor takes 1.9 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Diego are missing 2 regular starters — Jeppe Tverskov, Marcus Ingvartsen — about 24% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. Last five: Orlando City SC D-D-L-W-D, San Diego W-W-L-W-W — San Diego are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2200 games when clearly hotter and 42.8% of 4019 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Orlando City SC vs San Diego final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Orlando City SC 1–0 San Diego. Explore more on the Orlando City SC and San Diego team pages or the Major League Soccer page.