Colorado Rapids vs 11.10.26 01:301 – 1Full Time
San Jose Earthquakes — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Colorado Rapids denied by San Jose Earthquakes in 1-1 draw
Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Dick's Sporting Goods Park in Major League Soccer on Matchday 28. The home side led at the interval, but the visitors levelled shortly after the restart and the match finished with both sides collecting a single point.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Colorado took the lead in the 27th minute when D. Phillip scored, with Paxten Aaronson providing the assist. The Rapids held that advantage to half-time, with the score at 1-0, despite San Jose enjoying the greater share of the ball across the match.
The Earthquakes drew level in the 57th minute. David Romney found the net from a Ronaldo Vieira assist to make it 1-1. Neither side added to the scoring over the remaining half-hour, and the referee, Filip Dujic, showed just one yellow card to each team.
The result left Colorado 14th in the table on 37 points after 28 matches, while San Jose stayed ninth on 46 points from the same number of games.
Earl Edwards, the San Jose goalkeeper, was the top-rated performer with 8.4, as Colorado put 10 of their 13 shots on target. D. Phillip, who scored the opener, was next on 7.87.
San Jose had 63 per cent of the possession yet managed only three shots on target, compared with ten for Colorado.
Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Colorado Rapids met San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 01:30 UTC at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Referee: Filip Dujic. Attendance: 15,112.
Team pages: Colorado Rapids · San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 27' Goal: D. Phillip (assist: Paxten Aaronson) — 1–0
- 57' Goal: Dave Romney (assist: Ronaldo Vieira) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Colorado Rapids (4-3-3)
San Jose Earthquakes (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Colorado Rapids 39%, the draw 29%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. It finished Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
Home ground outweighs San Jose Earthquakes' rating edge — San Jose Earthquakes are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Colorado Rapids the lean. The draw at 29% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Colorado Rapids at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. San Jose Earthquakes sit 52 points higher on our strength rating — 1431 to 1482. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 10,361 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,207 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 39%?
Because San Jose Earthquakes are the stronger side on our strength rating. San Jose Earthquakes sit -0.55 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.7% of 1,357 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118.
What did we measure but not count?
Colorado Rapids sit -0.49 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Out: Reid Roberts, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Explore more on the Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes team pages or the Major League Soccer page.