Los Angeles FC vs 11.10.26 02:301 – 1Full Time
Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Los Angeles FC draw 1-1 with ten-man Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Banc of California Stadium in Major League Soccer's Matchday 28. The visitors, second in the table on 51 points, had to play almost the entire match with ten men, while the hosts, 12th on 42 points from 29 games, could not turn their numerical advantage into victory.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Vancouver's task became difficult in the sixth minute, when Tristan Blackmon was shown a red card. Despite the early setback, the Whitecaps took the lead two minutes before the interval, Oliver Larraz scoring in the 43rd minute to make it 1-0 and send them into the break ahead.
Los Angeles needed only a minute after the restart to respond. Sergi Palencia provided the assist and Dénis Bouanga finished in the 46th minute to level the score at 1-1. Neither side found a winner in the remaining half hour, and the match finished level.
Oliver Larraz scored Vancouver's goal in the 43rd minute and earned the match's highest rating, 7.93, in a performance played largely against the odds with a man down.
Los Angeles edged the shooting count by 12 attempts to 9, though only four of theirs were on target against three for Vancouver.
Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Los Angeles FC met Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 28). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 02:30 UTC at Banc of California Stadium. Referee: Guido Gonzalez. Attendance: 22,287.
Team pages: Los Angeles FC · Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 6' Red card: Tristan Blackmon
- 43' Goal: Oliver Larraz — 0–1
- 46' Goal: Dénis Bouanga (assist: Sergi Palencia) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Los Angeles FC (4-2-3-1)
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Los Angeles FC 39%, the draw 30%, Vancouver Whitecaps 31%. It finished Los Angeles FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Home ground outweighs Vancouver Whitecaps' rating edge — Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on our strength rating, but Major League Soccer home advantage gives Los Angeles FC the lean. The draw at 30% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Los Angeles FC at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Vancouver Whitecaps sit 46 points higher on our strength rating — 1528 to 1573. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 10,361 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.2% of 5,207 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 39%?
Because Vancouver Whitecaps are the stronger side on our strength rating. Vancouver Whitecaps hold 6 more possession points (57 to 51 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,466 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Los Angeles FC have shed 82 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,577 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Los Angeles FC on 14 days' rest, Vancouver Whitecaps on 4. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 42,036 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Los Angeles FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps. Explore more on the Los Angeles FC and Vancouver Whitecaps team pages or the Major League Soccer page.