Toronto FC vs DC United — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 29′DC United, goal:0–1assist
- 33′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 50′DC United, yellow card:
- 50′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- 58′DC United, yellow card:
- 60′DC United, yellow card:
- 64′Toronto FC, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- 64′Toronto FC, goal:1–1assist
- 80′DC United, substitution:off
- 84′Toronto FC, yellow card:
- 86′Toronto FC, goal:2–1
- 89′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 89′DC United, substitution:off
- 90+3′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- 90+5′Toronto FC, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
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Toronto FC
DC United
Match report
Toronto FC fight back to beat DC United 2-1 at BMO Field
Toronto FC came from behind to beat DC United 2-1 in Major League Soccer on Matchday 32 at BMO Field, with Josh Sargent scoring an 86th-minute winner after setting up the equaliser. The result lifted the hosts from 22nd to 20th in the table, to 39 points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
DC United led at the break. Andre Dozzell scored in the 29th minute, converting a delivery from Silvan Hefti to make it 1-0 to the visitors, and Toronto went in at half-time trailing despite the greater share of the ball.
The hosts levelled in the 64th minute when Jonathan Osorio scored from a Sargent assist. Toronto kept up the pressure, and Sargent got the decisive goal himself four minutes from time to make it 2-1. Toronto had 61% of possession to DC United's 39%, though each side had nine shots and two on target.
The defeat was a fourth in a row for DC United, who stayed 27th on 33 points, now six behind Toronto. DC United are away to Columbus Crew in Major League Soccer on Saturday, while Toronto travel to Atlanta United FC on Sunday.
Josh Sargent provided the assist for Osorio's equaliser and then scored the winner in the 86th minute, earning the top rating of the match at 8.13.
Toronto held 61% of possession, yet shots were level at nine apiece.
Toronto FC beat DC United 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
Toronto FC met DC United in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at BMO Field. Referee: Alexis Da Silva. Attendance: 16,845.
Team pages: Toronto FC · DC United · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 29' Goal: Andre Dozzell (assist: Silvan Hefti) — 0–1 · Watch Andre Dozzell's goal video (29')
- 64' Goal: Jonathan Osorio (assist: Josh Sargent) — 1–1 · Watch Jonathan Osorio's goal video (64')
- 86' Goal: Josh Sargent — 2–1 · Watch Josh Sargent's goal video (86')
Starting line-ups
Toronto FC (4-3-3)
DC United (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Toronto FC 61%, the draw 22%, DC United 17%. It finished Toronto FC 2–1 DC United.
Toronto FC's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Toronto FC 61% mainly because they sit 93 points higher on our strength rating, 1440 to 1347, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to do well. The draw starts at 25% for a gap this size but falls to 22%, as both teams' recent games average 3.4 goals and DC United's finishing streak trims it further.
Why Toronto FC at 61%?
Toronto FC sit 93 points higher on our strength rating — 1440 to 1347. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,351 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,268 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 50–28–22.
Why only 61%?
DC United sit -0.72 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,958 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,464. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Toronto FC scored +0.72 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,181 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. In our recorded league results, DC United are winless in their last 8 away games: 4 draws and 4 defeats. The run began on 10 May 2026. Last recorded away league win: 3 May 2026 — New York City FC 0–2 DC United. Latest recorded away league result: 21 October 2026 — FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United. Across 14,221 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Toronto FC vs DC United final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Andre Dozzell's goal against Toronto FC (29').
- Watch Jonathan Osorio's goal against DC United (64').
- Watch Josh Sargent's goal against DC United (86').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Toronto FC 2–1 DC United. Explore more on the Toronto FC and DC United team pages or the Major League Soccer page.