Austin vs Real Salt Lake — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 35′Real Salt Lake, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 52′Austin, goal:1–0
- 55′Real Salt Lake, goal:1–1assist
- 61′Real Salt Lake, goal:1–2assist
- 61′Austin, yellow card:
- 64′Austin, substitution:off
- 64′Austin, substitution:off
- 67′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 70′Austin, substitution:off
- 74′Austin, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 76′Austin, substitution:off
- 77′Austin, yellow card:
- 79′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 79′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 79′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- 86′Real Salt Lake, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Match report
Austin vs Real Salt Lake — the facts
Real Salt Lake won 2–1 away against Austin (half-time 0–0).
Austin met Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Q2 Stadium. Referee: Ricardo Montero. Attendance: 20,738.
Team pages: Austin · Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 52' Goal: Jorge Alastuey — 1–0 · Watch Jorge Alastuey's goal video (52')
- 55' Goal: Saba Lobzhanidze (assist: Juan Sanabria) — 1–1 · Watch Saba Lobzhanidze's goal video (55')
- 61' Goal: Morgan Guilavogui (assist: S. Solans) — 1–2 · Watch Morgan Guilavogui's goal video (61')
Starting line-ups
Austin (3-4-3)
Real Salt Lake (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Austin 38%, the draw 29%, Real Salt Lake 33%. It finished Austin 1–2 Real Salt Lake.
Home advantage edges Austin past a stronger Real Salt Lake — Real Salt Lake sit 41 points higher on our strength rating, but the usual home advantage, which runs strong for home sides in Major League Soccer, gives Austin a slight lean at 38% to 33%. The draw sits at 29%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up by Real Salt Lake's cold finishing and down slightly by typical scoring in both sides' recent games.
Why Austin at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Real Salt Lake sit 41 points higher on our strength rating — 1467 to 1427. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,104 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,268 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Real Salt Lake are the stronger side on our strength rating. Real Salt Lake sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.9% of 1,659 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,217. The bounce-back factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Real Salt Lake won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Austin. The record is 4 wins for Real Salt Lake, 2 draws and 0 wins for Austin. These were 6 Major League Soccer games played at both grounds between 4 June 2023 and 15 March 2026. Real Salt Lake are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings between the sides (4 wins, 2 draws), a run going back to June 2023. Latest meeting: 15 March 2026 — Real Salt Lake 2–1 Austin. In 6,087 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%. Last five: Austin D-L-L-L-W, Real Salt Lake W-L-D-W-W — Real Salt Lake are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2030 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3924 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Austin vs Real Salt Lake final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jorge Alastuey's goal against Real Salt Lake (52').
- Watch Saba Lobzhanidze's goal against Austin (55').
- Watch Morgan Guilavogui's goal against Austin (61').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Austin 1–2 Real Salt Lake. Explore more on the Austin and Real Salt Lake team pages or the Major League Soccer page.