Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow4 clips- 44′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 46′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 46′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 61′Inter Miami, goal:1–0assist
- 63′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 72′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 72′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 80′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–1assist
- 83′Inter Miami, substitution:off
- 86′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–2assist
- 90′Inter Miami, goal:2–2assist
- 90+1′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 90+2′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- 90+4′Inter Miami, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Match report
Inter Miami snatch late 2-2 draw with FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati drew 2-2 at Nu Stadium in Major League Soccer on Matchday 32, the home side equalising in the 90th minute after the visitors had turned the game around inside six minutes. Neither side could find a way through in a goalless first half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Luis Suárez broke the deadlock in the 61st minute, finishing from Casemiro's assist to put Miami 1-0 up. Cincinnati hit back through Kenji Mboma Dem in the 80th minute, Evander providing the pass, and Samuel Gidi then put them 2-1 ahead in the 86th minute from Tom Barlow's assist.
Miami refused to settle for defeat and levelled at the death, Riquelme Fillipi scoring in the 90th minute from Rodrigo De Paul's assist. The hosts had dominated the ball with 61 per cent possession and edged the shots count 14 to 13, though only four of those shots tested the goalkeeper against Cincinnati's three.
The point lifted Miami to third in the table on 56 points, while Cincinnati moved up to 14th on 43. Miami travel to New England Revolution in their next league game, while Cincinnati host Philadelphia Union in Major League Soccer on Saturday.
Luis Suárez scored the opening goal in the 61st minute and was the match's top-rated performer with 7.86. Kenji Mboma Dem, who pulled Cincinnati level, was close behind on 7.71.
Inter Miami had 61 per cent of the possession but could not turn it into a win.
Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
Inter Miami met FC Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:30 UTC at Nu Stadium. Referee: A. Villarreal. Attendance: 26,752.
Team pages: Inter Miami · FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 61' Goal: Luis Suárez (assist: Casemiro) — 1–0 · Watch Luis Suárez's goal video (61')
- 80' Goal: Kenji Mboma Dem (assist: Evander) — 1–1 · Watch Kenji Mboma Dem's goal video (80')
- 86' Goal: Samuel Gidi (assist: Tom Barlow) — 1–2 · Watch Samuel Gidi's goal video (86')
- 90' Goal: Riquelme Fillipi (assist: Rodrigo De Paul) — 2–2 · Watch Riquelme Fillipi's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Inter Miami (4-3-3)
FC Cincinnati (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Inter Miami 61%, the draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 17%. It finished Inter Miami 2–2 FC Cincinnati.
Inter Miami's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Inter Miami 61% mainly because our strength rating has them 111 points higher, 1592 to 1482, with home sides in Major League Soccer also doing better than the global norm. The draw sits at 22%, down from a usual 25% for a gap this size, because both teams' recent games average 3.8 goals and a finishing streak trims it further.
Why Inter Miami at 61%?
Inter Miami sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1592 to 1482. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,351 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,268 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 57–25–18.
Why only 61%?
FC Cincinnati sit -0.33 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.4% of 2,958 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,464. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter Miami scored +0.67 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,181 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Luis Suárez's goal against FC Cincinnati (61').
- Watch Kenji Mboma Dem's goal against Inter Miami (80').
- Watch Samuel Gidi's goal against Inter Miami (86').
- Watch Riquelme Fillipi's goal against FC Cincinnati (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Inter Miami 2–2 FC Cincinnati. Explore more on the Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati team pages or the Major League Soccer page.