Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC — Copa Do Brasil: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 27′Palmeiras, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Fortaleza EC, yellow card:Time wasting
- Half-time
- 46′Fortaleza EC, substitution:off
- 46′Fortaleza EC, substitution:off
- 48′Palmeiras, goal:1–0assist
- 61′Fortaleza EC, substitution:off
- 64′Palmeiras, goal:2–0assist
- 69′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 69′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 70′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 70′Fortaleza EC, substitution:off
- 75′Fortaleza EC, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 76′Fortaleza EC, substitution:off
- 83′Palmeiras, substitution:off
- 85′Palmeiras, goal:3–0
- 86′Palmeiras, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Palmeiras
Fortaleza EC
Match report
Palmeiras thrash Fortaleza to power into Copa do Brasil quarter-finals
Palmeiras eased into the next round of the Copa do Brasil with a 3-0 victory over Fortaleza EC in their Round of 16 tie at Nubank Parque, a scoreline that stayed goalless at half-time before the hosts took full control after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Maurício broke the deadlock three minutes into the second half, turning home an assist from Ramón Sosa, and Palmeiras doubled their lead when Jhon Arias converted a chance created by Allan on 64 minutes. José López added a third in the closing stages, finishing in the 85th minute to complete the rout.
Abel Ferreira's side dominated proceedings throughout, holding 62 percent of possession and outshooting their visitors 18 to 13, with nine of those efforts on target compared to none for Fortaleza. Carpini Thiago's team, who arrived unbeaten in five, could not find a way past a Palmeiras defence that limited them to a single booking fewer than their opponents collected.
Jhon Arias capped a lively display with the second goal and a match-high rating of 8.5, while Maurício also finished on the scoresheet with a rating of 8.3 after opening the scoring.
Fortaleza failed to register a single shot on target across the match, underlining how comprehensively Palmeiras controlled proceedings.
Palmeiras beat Fortaleza EC 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
Palmeiras met Fortaleza EC in the Copa Do Brasil (Round of 16). Kick-off was Sunday, 2 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at Nubank Parque. Referee: Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima.
Team pages: Palmeiras · Fortaleza EC · Copa Do Brasil
Key moments
- 48' Goal: Maurício (assist: Ramón Sosa) — 1–0
- 64' Goal: Jhon Arias (assist: Allan) — 2–0
- 85' Goal: José López — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Palmeiras (3-4-2-1)
- 1 Carlos Miguel
- 2 Alexander Barboza
- 26 Murilo
- 32 Emiliano Martínez
- 22 Joaquín Piquerez (c)
- 17 Marlon Freitas
- 8 Andreas Pereira
- 40 Allan
- 11 Jhon Arias
- 18 Maurício
- 19 Ramón Sosa
Fortaleza EC (4-3-3)
- 1 João Ricardo (c)
- 18 Gabriel Fuentes
- 3 Lucas Gazal
- 23 Neris
- 22 Maílton
- 5 Pierre
- 88 Lucas Sasha
- 8 Ronald
- 77 Paulo Baya
- 32 Luiz Fernando
- 11 Vitinho
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Palmeiras 67%, the draw 19%, Fortaleza EC 14%. It finished Palmeiras 3–0 Fortaleza EC.
Palmeiras' rating gap decides it — Palmeiras are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Palmeiras' 67%. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Palmeiras at 67%?
Palmeiras sit 244 points higher on our strength rating — 1930 to 1685. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,902 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–18–12.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Fortaleza EC at 14%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,706.
What did we measure but not count?
Palmeiras average 16 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 244 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Palmeiras scored +0.63 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,727 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza EC final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Palmeiras and Fortaleza EC team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.