Match report
Pavón strike sends Gremio past Mirassol in Copa do Brasil last 16
Gremio edged past Mirassol 1-0 in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16, with a single goal separating the sides at the final whistle. Luis Castro's team took the lead in the first half and held on despite being outplayed for large spells of the contest.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cristian Pavón broke the deadlock in the 37th minute, converting to put Gremio 1-0 ahead, a score that stood at half-time and remained unchanged through the second half. Mirassol pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way past the home defence.
Mirassol had the better of the possession, holding 58% of the ball to Gremio's 42%, and edged the corner count five to one, yet Gremio proved the more incisive side in front of goal, registering three shots on target compared to Mirassol's one. The result arrived despite Gremio having lost their two previous meetings with Mirassol coming into this tie.
Pavón scored the only goal of the match and finished with a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Despite having only 42% possession, Gremio were the more clinical side, landing three shots on target to Mirassol's one.
Gremio beat Mirassol 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Gremio met Mirassol in the Copa Do Brasil (Round of 16). Kick-off was Wednesday, 5 August 2026, 22:30 UTC. Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda.
Team pages: Gremio · Mirassol · Copa Do Brasil
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Cristian Pavón — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Gremio (4-1-4-1)
Mirassol (4-3-3)
- 23 Alex Muralha
- 6 Reinaldo
- 44 Gabriel
- 34 João Victor (c)
- 32 Igor Formiga
- 5 Japa
- 80 Wallisson
- 8 Denilson
- 77 Alesson
- 30 Bruno Santos
- 95 Edson
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Gremio 42%, the draw 28%, Mirassol 30%. It finished Gremio 1–0 Mirassol.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Gremio's 42% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Gremio in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1658 to 1685. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,759 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Mirassol at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,484. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Gremio are missing 2 regular starters — Francis Amuzu, Marlon — about 41% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short. Mirassol are missing their first-choice keeper and 1 more regular starter — Walter, Alesson — about 26% of their usual starting-XI weight. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Gremio vs Mirassol final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Gremio and Mirassol team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Gremio vs Mirassol?
Gremio beat Mirassol 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Gremio vs Mirassol?
Cristian Pavón (37') for Gremio.
›Where can I watch Gremio vs Mirassol highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Gremio vs Mirassol; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Mirassol?
Gremio and Mirassol have met 5 times — 0 wins for Gremio, 4 wins for Mirassol and 1 draw.