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Juventude vs 04.08.26 22:300 – 1Full TimeAgg: 0 – 1
Atletico-MG — Copa Do Brasil: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Atletico-MG snatched a 1-0 victory away to Juventude in the Copa do Brasil Round of 16 clash at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, a match that stayed goalless deep into stoppage time before finally breaking in the visitors' favour.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half and much of the second produced no goals despite Juventude enjoying the majority of the ball, and it was not until the fifth minute of added time that the deadlock was broken. Alan Minda struck to make it 0-1, the goal arriving so late that Juventude had no time to respond before the final whistle.
Juventude dominated territorially, holding 66 percent of possession and forcing three corners fewer than their tally of four, but could not turn that control into a breakthrough. Both sides managed 15 shots and three on target apiece, while Atletico-MG committed more fouls and picked up two yellow cards to Juventude's one.
Lyanco was rated the outstanding performer on the pitch with a 7.9 mark despite not registering a goal or assist, while matchwinner Alan Minda earned a 7.7 rating for his decisive late strike.
Juventude's 66 percent share of possession told of a side that controlled the ball for long spells without managing to convert that dominance into victory.
Atletico-MG won 1–0 away against Juventude (half-time 0–0).
Juventude met Atletico-MG in the Copa Do Brasil (Round of 16). Kick-off was Tuesday, 4 August 2026, 22:30 UTC at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi. Referee: F. Rodrigues.
Team pages: Juventude · Atletico-MG · Copa Do Brasil
Before kick-off Sirius gave Juventude 32%, the draw 29%, Atletico-MG 39%. It finished Juventude 0–1 Atletico-MG.
Atletico-MG's rating edge outweighs Juventude's home ground — Atletico-MG are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Atletico-MG's 39%. The draw at 29% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Atletico-MG sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1576 to 1683. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,007 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–28–35.
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Juventude at 32%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,478. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
Atletico-MG have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 47.0% of 2412 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2452 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Juventude vs Atletico-MG final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Copa Do Brasil fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Juventude and Atletico-MG team pages or the Copa Do Brasil page.
Atletico-MG won 1–0 away against Juventude (half-time 0–0).
Alan Minda (90') for Atletico-MG.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Juventude vs Atletico-MG; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
Juventude and Atletico-MG have met 10 times — 2 wins for Juventude, 5 wins for Atletico-MG and 3 draws.