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Villarreal vs 14.09.26 19:001 – 2Full Time
Real Betis — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Real Betis came from behind to win 2-1 at Villarreal in a La Liga Regular Season - 5 fixture at the Estadio de la Ceramica. Gerard Moreno gave the home side an early lead, but two goals either side of half-time turned the contest in Betis's favour before the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Moreno opened the scoring in the 29th minute, converting after an assist from Renato Veiga to put Villarreal ahead 1-0. Betis responded quickly through Camilo Hernández in the 39th minute to level the score, and Natan struck four minutes later to put the visitors 2-1 up, a scoreline that held through half-time and into the final whistle.
Villarreal dominated possession with 62 percent of the ball but managed only 14 shots to Betis's 26, with the away side also edging shots on target 12 to 8. Despite finishing with fewer touches, Betis's efficiency in front of goal proved decisive as they held on for the win.
Péter Gulácsi was rated the top performer on the pitch with an 8.8 rating despite finishing on the losing side, while Gerard Moreno's goal and 8.2 rating underlined his influence for Villarreal.
Betis managed almost twice as many shots as Villarreal despite having only 38 percent of the possession.
Real Betis won 2–1 away against Villarreal (half-time 1–2).
Villarreal met Real Betis in the La Liga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Monday, 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio de la Ceramica. Referee: Francisco Hernández Maeso.
Team pages: Villarreal · Real Betis · La Liga
Before kick-off Sirius gave Villarreal 46%, the draw 24%, Real Betis 30%. It finished Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Real Betis' hot finishing due to cool plus La Liga home advantage give Villarreal the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1908 to 1950. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,993 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). Real Betis scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 28.8% of 1,501 games, vs 29.2% for visitors finishing normally. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,130 games vs 44.9% across all 100,205 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Villarreal's column. Across 11,152 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,218. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
Real Betis have gained 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,372 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Villarreal are 5 games into a new manager (Iñigo Pérez), appointed 59 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Villarreal vs Real Betis final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis. Explore more on the Villarreal and Real Betis team pages or the La Liga page.
Real Betis won 2–1 away against Villarreal (half-time 1–2).
Gerard Moreno (29') for Villarreal; Camilo Hernández (39') for Real Betis; Natan (43') for Real Betis.
Goal highlights and video clips from Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Villarreal and Real Betis have met 10 times — 4 wins for Villarreal, 4 wins for Real Betis and 2 draws.