Levante vs 21.10.26 18:003 – 1Full Time
Athletic Club — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Levante vs Athletic Club — the facts
Levante beat Athletic Club 3–1 (half-time 2–0).
Levante met Athletic Club in the La Liga (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez. Attendance: 18,779.
Team pages: Levante · Athletic Club · La Liga
Key moments
- 20' Goal: Brugui (assist: Dani Requena) — 1–0
- 22' Goal: Brugui (assist: Dani Requena) — 2–0
- 67' Goal (penalty): Álex Berenguer — 2–1 · Watch Álex Berenguer's goal video (67')
- 73' Red card: Aymeric Laporte
- 90+8' Goal: Karl Etta Eyong — 3–1 · Watch Karl Etta Eyong's goal video (90+8')
Starting line-ups
Levante (4-4-2)
Athletic Club (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Levante 36%, the draw 29%, Athletic Club 35%. It finished Levante 3–1 Athletic Club.
Too close to call, with home advantage balancing Athletic — Athletic Club's finishing, below what their chances deserved and the kind of cold streak that tends to bounce back, edges them up, but Levante's home advantage pulls it level at 36% to 35%. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% for sides this level, mainly because Athletic Club's control of the ball and that finishing streak both raise it.
Why Levante in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1634 to 1657. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,862 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,168 games vs 44.6% across all 101,480 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 36%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Athletic Club sit -0.45 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,388 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Athletic Club hold 8 more possession points (50 to 42 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,509 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 29%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,274. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Levante come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Athletic Club won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Levante. The record is 3 wins for Athletic Club, 3 draws and 0 wins for Levante. These were 5 La Liga games and 1 Copa del Rey game played at both grounds between 26 February 2021 and 8 February 2026. Athletic Club are unbeaten in the last 11 meetings between the sides (7 wins, 4 draws), a run going back to April 2019. Latest meeting: 8 February 2026 — Athletic Club 4–2 Levante. In 5,662 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Levante vs Athletic Club final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Álex Berenguer's goal against Levante (67').
- Watch Karl Etta Eyong's goal against Athletic Club (90+8').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Levante 3–1 Athletic Club. Explore more on the Levante and Athletic Club team pages or the La Liga page.