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play_arrow1 clip- 24′Elche, substitution:off
- 36′Elche, yellow card:
- 42′Elche, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 61′Valencia, substitution:off
- 62′Elche, yellow card:
- 68′Elche, substitution:off
- 68′Elche, substitution:off
- 68′Elche, substitution:off
- 69′Valencia, goal:0–1assist
- 73′Valencia, yellow card:
- 78′Elche, substitution:off
- 78′Valencia, substitution:off
- 78′Valencia, substitution:off
- 88′Valencia, substitution:off
- 88′Valencia, substitution:off
- 90+1′Valencia, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 1
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Elche
Valencia
Match report
Valencia edge Elche with Sadiq's late winner in La Liga
Valencia won 1-0 at Elche on Matchday 11 of La Liga, Umar Sadiq scoring the only goal in the 69th minute at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The two sides were goalless at half-time, and the visitors made their one decisive moment count after a first period without a goal.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Sadiq's strike was created by Arnaut Danjuma, and it settled a contest in which Elche held the bulk of the ball. The hosts had 69% possession and 16 shots to 5 for Valencia, and won six corners to two. Both sides, though, put three efforts on target, and the home side could find no way back after falling behind.
The result ended Elche's run of 5 games unbeaten and lifted Valencia out of a run of 4 games without a win. Elche stayed 17th with 10 points, while Valencia moved to 9 points, still 19th and one point behind their opponents.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Valencia a 29% chance of winning. Valencia host Real Madrid in La Liga on Saturday, and Elche entertain Real Betis in the league on Sunday.
César Tárrega earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 7.59 for Valencia, while Elche's Víctor Chust was close behind on 7.57 in defeat.
Elche had 16 shots to Valencia's 5, yet lost the match.
Valencia won 1–0 away against Elche (half-time 0–0).
Elche met Valencia in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. Referee: Lluís Bestard Servera. Attendance: 28,360.
Key moments
- 69' Goal: Umar Sadiq (assist: Arnaut Danjuma) — 0–1 · Watch Umar Sadiq's goal video (69')
Starting line-ups
Elche (5-3-2)
Valencia (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Elche 43%, the draw 28%, Valencia 29%. It finished Elche 0–1 Valencia.
Home advantage gives Elche a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Elche's home advantage puts them in front at 43%, though Valencia's recent finishing, below what their chances deserved, pulls the other way as cold streaks like this tend to bounce back. The draw sits at 28%, near the usual rate for evenly matched sides, nudged up slightly by that finishing streak.
Why Elche in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1666 to 1645. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,572 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,184 games vs 44.6% across all 108,290 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Valencia sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,676 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278. The bounce-back factor adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Valencia have shed 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,413 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Elche have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Elche vs Valencia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Elche 0–1 Valencia. Explore more on the Elche and Valencia team pages or the La Liga page.