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- 20′Malaga, yellow card:
- 38′Malaga, yellow card:
- 38′Real Betis, goal:1–0assist
- 45+2′Real Betis, goal:2–0
- Half-time2 – 0
- 60′Malaga, substitution:off
- 61′Malaga, substitution:off
- 61′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 62′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 68′Malaga, goal:2–1
- 75′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 79′Malaga, substitution:off
- 80′Malaga, substitution:off
- 83′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 84′Real Betis, substitution:off
- 86′Malaga, substitution:off
- 90+1′Real Betis, yellow card:
- 90+2′Real Betis, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
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Real Betis
Malaga
Match report
Real Betis hold off Malaga fightback to win 2-1 at Estadio de la Cartuja
Real Betis beat Malaga 2-1 in La Liga on matchday 11 at Estadio de la Cartuja, moving from 20 points to 23 and staying fourth in the table. Malaga, who remain 20th on five points, pulled a goal back in the second half but could not find an equaliser.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Betis took control just before the break. Marc Bartra put them ahead in the 38th minute, converting from an Isco assist, and Pablo Fornals added a second in first-half stoppage time, in the 45+2 minute, to send the hosts in 2-0 up at half-time.
Malaga came out with more purpose after the interval and Adrián Niño reduced the deficit in the 68th minute to make it 2-1. Betis, who had 23 shots to Malaga's 10 and 59% of the possession, saw out the remaining time to secure the three points.
Betis travel to Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, while Malaga host Racing Santander in La Liga on Saturday.
Pablo Fornals took the top rating of 8.12 for Betis, scoring the second goal in first-half stoppage time. Isco's assist for Bartra's opener earned him a 7.97 rating.
Betis won the corner count 10 to 3, underlining how much of the game was played in Malaga's half.
Real Betis beat Malaga 2–1 (half-time 2–0).
Real Betis met Malaga in the La Liga (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio de la Cartuja. Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer. Attendance: 64,119.
Team pages: Real Betis · Malaga · La Liga
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Marc Bartra (assist: Isco) — 1–0
- 45+2' Goal: Pablo Fornals — 2–0
- 68' Goal: Adrián Niño — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Real Betis (4-2-3-1)
Malaga (4-1-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Betis 71%, the draw 20%, Malaga 9%. It finished Real Betis 2–1 Malaga.
Betis clearly stronger, with La Liga home edge — We give Real Betis 71% mainly because our strength rating has them 221 points higher, 1791 to 1569, and home sides in La Liga tend to do better than the global norm, which adds a little more. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both teams' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Real Betis at 71%?
Real Betis sit 221 points higher on our strength rating — 1791 to 1569. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,180 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–21–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 71% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Malaga at 9%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Diego Murillo and Joaquín Muñoz, important players, and Pablo Martínez, on a provisional rating. Doubtful: Ángel Recio, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Real Betis won 5 of the last 6 meetings with Malaga. The record is 5 wins for Real Betis, 0 draws and 1 win for Malaga. These were 6 La Liga games played at both grounds between 7 November 2015 and 30 April 2018. Latest meeting: 30 April 2018 — Real Betis 2–1 Malaga. In 5,562 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Betis vs Malaga final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Betis 2–1 Malaga. Explore more on the Real Betis and Malaga team pages or the La Liga page.