HighlightsSerie AYouTubeMatch Events
- 6′Monza, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 12′Monza, yellow card:
- 17′Bologna, yellow card:
- 23′Bologna, yellow card:
- 33′Bologna, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Monza, substitution:off
- 56′Bologna, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 58′Monza, yellow card:
- 59′Bologna, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 64′Bologna, substitution:off
- 66′Monza, substitution:off
- 66′Monza, substitution:off
- 71′Monza, substitution:off
- 71′Monza, substitution:off
- 74′Bologna, yellow card:
- 74′Bologna, substitution:off
- 75′Bologna, substitution:off
- 76′Monza, yellow card:
- 77′Monza, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 81′Monza, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 83′Bologna, substitution:off
- 83′Bologna, substitution:off
- 90′Bologna, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
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Bologna
Monza
Match report
Bologna come from behind to beat Monza 2-1 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna beat Monza 2-1 in Serie A on matchday 10 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, recovering from an early penalty to claim the points. Gustavo Varela put the visitors in front from the spot in the sixth minute, but the home side were level before the half-hour had passed.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Tommaso Pobega drew Bologna level in the 33rd minute, finishing from a Juan Miranda assist, and the sides went into the interval at 1-1. Federico Bernardeschi then converted a penalty in the 59th minute to complete the turnaround, and that proved the decisive moment of the afternoon.
Bologna held the greater share of the ball, with 59 per cent of possession, and had 10 shots to 6, five of them on target against Monza's four. The result lifted Bologna from 11th to eighth, on 14 points. Monza stayed 16th on 7 points, having now lost 3 games in a row.
Bologna travel to Parma on Saturday 7 November in Serie A, while Monza host Atalanta the following day.
Juan Miranda was the top-rated performer on 7.9, supplying the assist for Pobega's equaliser that brought Bologna back into the contest.
Bologna won the possession battle 59 per cent to 41, the platform for 10 shots against Monza's 6.
Bologna beat Monza 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Bologna met Monza in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Referee: Andrea Zanotti. Attendance: 25,561.
Key moments
- 6' Goal (penalty): Gustavo Varela — 0–1
- 33' Goal: Tommaso Pobega (assist: Juan Miranda) — 1–1
- 59' Goal (penalty): Federico Bernardeschi — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Bologna (3-4-2-1)
Monza (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bologna 57%, the draw 23%, Monza 20%. It finished Bologna 2–1 Monza.
Bologna's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give Bologna 57% mainly because our strength rating has them 159 points higher, 1710 to 1551, though home sides in Serie A generally under-perform, which pulls a little towards Monza. The draw sits at 23%, down from a usual 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.5 goals.
Why Bologna at 57%?
Bologna sit 159 points higher on our strength rating — 1710 to 1551. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,367 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 68–20–12.
Why only 57%?
Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,171 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monza are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. Bologna are 4 games into a new manager (Raffaele Palladino), appointed 20 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bologna vs Monza final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bologna 2–1 Monza. Explore more on the Bologna and Monza team pages or the Serie A page.