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play_arrow1 clip- 52′Monaco, substitution:off
- 57′Monaco, yellow card:
- 60′Monaco, yellow card:
- 60′Monaco, yellow card:
- 61′Lorient, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 66′Monaco, substitution:off
- 66′Monaco, substitution:off
- 66′Monaco, substitution:off
- 66′Lorient, yellow card:
- 71′Lorient, substitution:off
- 74′Monaco, substitution:off
- 76′Lorient, yellow card:
- 79′Lorient, substitution:off
- 80′Monaco, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 0
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Lorient
Monaco
Match report
Lorient edge Monaco 1-0 after Cadiou penalty at Stade du Moustoir
Lorient beat Monaco 1-0 at Stade du Moustoir on Ligue 1 matchday 7, a single second-half penalty from Noah Cadiou separating the sides after a goalless first half. The result ended Monaco's run of nine games unbeaten and was their first league defeat of the season, having gone six league games without losing.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment came in the 61st minute, when Cadiou converted from the spot to put the hosts in front. Neither side scored again, and Lorient defended their lead through the closing half-hour with Yvon Mvogo and Dembo Sylla among their better performers.
Monaco finished with the greater share of the ball, 58 per cent to Lorient's 42, and had 15 shots to nine, though only four of theirs and three of Lorient's were on target. The league table shows Lorient climbing from 11th to seventh on 11 points, while Monaco slipped from second to fourth on 14.
Monaco turn to European action next, hosting SC Freiburg in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday, while Lorient travel to Angers in Ligue 1 on Sunday.
Aleksandr Golovin was the highest-rated player on the pitch at 7.52, despite finishing on the losing side. Mvogo, the Lorient goalkeeper, was close behind on 7.47 as the hosts protected their lead.
Monaco had 15 shots to Lorient's nine, but could not turn that advantage into a goal.
Lorient beat Monaco 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Lorient met Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade du Moustoir. Referee: Marc Bollengier. Attendance: 15,626.
Key moments
- 61' Goal (penalty): Noah Cadiou — 1–0 · Watch Noah Cadiou's goal video (61')
Starting line-ups
Lorient (3-4-2-1)
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lorient 31%, the draw 26%, Monaco 43%. It finished Lorient 1–0 Monaco.
Monaco's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — We give Monaco 43% mainly because they sit 110 points higher on our strength rating, 1792 to 1683, and their habit of holding more of the ball adds a little to that. The draw sits at 26%, just below the usual 28% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Monaco at 43%?
Monaco sit 110 points higher on our strength rating — 1792 to 1683. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,861 such games. Monaco hold 5 more possession points (51 to 46 in recent games) across a 110-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,647 such games where the class table expected 40.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–26–43.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Lorient at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monaco scored +0.62 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,855 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Lorient on 7 days' rest, Monaco on 2. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 42,172 measured games no rest advantage repeated. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lorient vs Monaco final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lorient 1–0 Monaco. Explore more on the Lorient and Monaco team pages or the Ligue 1 page.