Lille vs 17.10.26 18:451 – 1Full Time
Stade Brestois 29 — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
- 6′Stade Brestois 29, goal:0–1assist
- 13′Stade Brestois 29, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 54′Lille, substitution:off
- 58′Stade Brestois 29, yellow card:
- 64′Lille, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 65′Lille, substitution:off
- 65′Lille, substitution:off
- 77′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 77′Lille, substitution:off
- 82′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 90′Lille, yellow card:
- Full-time1 – 1
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Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Match report
Lille held to 1-1 draw by Brest despite dominating possession
Lille and Stade Brestois 29 shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Ligue 1 on Matchday 7. The hosts controlled the ball for long spells but could only draw level from the penalty spot, while the visitors had made the most of an early opening.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Brest struck after six minutes, Mama Baldé finishing from Gautier Lloris's assist to make it 0-1. That was the only goal of the first half, with Lille trailing at the interval despite the bulk of the possession and a steady flow of attempts on the Brest goal.
Lille kept pressing after the restart and were rewarded in the 64th minute, when Olivier Giroud scored from the penalty spot to level at 1-1. Neither side found a winner, and the result left Lille third on 14 points and Brest eighth on nine, five points apart.
Lille turn their attention to the UEFA Champions League, hosting Galatasaray on Wednesday, while Brest are at home to Nice in Ligue 1 on Friday.
Maxima Goffi was Lille's highest-rated player on 7.69, ahead of team-mate Nabil Bentaleb on 7.16. Brest's Egil Selvik was close behind at 7.6.
Lille had 17 shots to Brest's 8, yet needed a penalty to find their goal.
Lille and Stade Brestois 29 drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Lille met Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Referee: Clement Turpin. Attendance: 40,779.
Team pages: Lille · Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Mama Baldé (assist: Gautier Lloris) — 0–1
- 64' Goal (penalty): Olivier Giroud — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Lille (4-2-3-1)
Stade Brestois 29 (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lille 55%, the draw 23%, Stade Brestois 29 22%. It finished Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29.
Lille's stronger rating puts them clearly ahead — We give Lille 55% mainly because they sit 123 points higher on our strength rating, 1753 to 1630, though Brestois scoring below what their chances deserved pulls slightly the other way, as cold streaks like this tend to bounce back. The draw sits at 23%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged down by that finishing streak and a typical scoring level.
Why Lille at 55%?
Lille sit 123 points higher on our strength rating — 1753 to 1630. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.7% of 13,358 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–24–15.
Why only 55%?
Stade Brestois 29 sit -0.37 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,529 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Brendan Chardonnet, an important player, and Giovani Versini, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Stade Brestois 29 are winless in their last 10 visits to Lille: 3 draws and 7 defeats, across 10 Ligue 1 games. No earlier win in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 14 February 2026 — Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Across 5,792 historical matches involving visitors with at least five consecutive winless visits, those visitors won 20.3%, compared with 21.6% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Explore more on the Lille and Stade Brestois 29 team pages or the Ligue 1 page.