HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 1′Marseille, goal:1–0assist
- 19′Marseille, substitution:off
- 25′Marseille, goal:2–0assist
- 44′Marseille, yellow card:
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 57′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 67′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 68′Toulouse, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 73′Marseille, substitution:off
- 73′Marseille, substitution:off
- 78′Marseille, yellow card:
- 86′Toulouse, yellow card:
- 87′Marseille, substitution:off
- 87′Marseille, substitution:off
- 89′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 89′Toulouse, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Marseille
Toulouse
Match report
Marseille beat Toulouse 2-0 after fast start at Orange Vélodrome
Marseille won 2-0 against Toulouse in Ligue 1 on Matchday 9 at the Orange Vélodrome, with both goals coming before the half-hour mark. The result ended Toulouse's run of 5 games unbeaten and lifted the hosts from ninth place to sixth.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side were ahead inside the first minute. Amine Gouiri set up Amine Harit for the opening goal, and Marseille spent the rest of the first half protecting that lead. They doubled it in the 25th minute when Gouiri turned scorer, finishing from an Igor Paixão assist to make it 2-0.
Toulouse had the greater share of the ball with 56% possession and had 14 shots to Marseille's 13, seven of them on target against the hosts' three. They could not find a way past the home defence, though, and the half-time scoreline of 2-0 was also the final one. Marseille had 44% possession.
Toulouse stayed eleventh on 10 points, five behind Marseille, who moved to 15. Marseille travel to Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, while Toulouse host Strasbourg in Ligue 1 on Friday.
Gouiri scored the second goal and assisted the first, and finished with a rating of 8.08. Jeffrey de Lange recorded the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.16.
Toulouse put seven of their 14 shots on target, while Marseille managed three from their 13 attempts.
Marseille beat Toulouse 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Marseille met Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Orange Vélodrome. Referee: Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj. Attendance: 39,094.
Key moments
- 1' Goal: Amine Harit (assist: Amine Gouiri) — 1–0 · Watch Amine Harit's goal video (1')
- 25' Goal: Amine Gouiri (assist: Igor Paixão) — 2–0 · Watch Amine Gouiri's goal video (25')
Starting line-ups
Marseille (4-1-4-1)
Toulouse (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Marseille 51%, the draw 26%, Toulouse 23%. It finished Marseille 2–0 Toulouse.
Home advantage gives Marseille a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1704 to 1677, the usual home advantage is the main reason we give Marseille 51%, helped by their habit of controlling the ball, 56 to 50 in possession. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27.5% for evenly matched sides, nudged down by that control and by both teams' recent games averaging 3.0 goals.
Why Marseille in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1704 to 1677. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,572 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Marseille hold 6 more possession points (56 to 50 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,614 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 51%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 26% and Toulouse at 23%.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278.
What did we measure but not count?
Toulouse are winless in their last 13 visits to Marseille: 6 draws and 7 defeats, across 12 Ligue 1 games and 1 Coupe de France game. Last recorded win: 3 March 2012 — Marseille 0–1 Toulouse. Latest visit: 4 March 2026 — Marseille 2–2 Toulouse. Across 6,338 historical matches involving visitors with at least five consecutive winless visits, those visitors won 20.2%, compared with 21.4% expected from the teams' strength ratings. Marseille play in Europe in 4 days — the classic minds-elsewhere worry. We checked, and no: league games in the four days before a European fixture ran +1.8 points above class expectation across 4,991 games — and the same clubs beat class by +2.1 in ordinary league weeks too (11,419-game control).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Marseille vs Toulouse final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Marseille 2–0 Toulouse. Explore more on the Marseille and Toulouse team pages or the Ligue 1 page.

