Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 33′Kairat Almaty, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed - offside
- 35′Sutjeska, yellow card:Roughing
- 41′Sutjeska, yellow card:A. GolubovicTripping
- 43′Kairat Almaty, yellow card:Roughing
- Half-time
- 46′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 46′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 46′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 60′Sutjeska, substitution:B. ToskovicoffV. Cavor
- 60′Sutjeska, substitution:off
- 69′Sutjeska, substitution:R. DedicoffB. Kopitovic
- 74′Kairat Almaty, substitution:off
- 75′Sutjeska, yellow card:Roughing
- 76′Kairat Almaty, goal:1–0assist
- 84′Sutjeska, substitution:offM. Simun
- 84′Sutjeska, substitution:offA. Golubovic
- 90′Sutjeska, goal:1–1assist
- 90+2′Kairat Almaty, goal:2–1assist
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Match report
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska — the facts
Kairat Almaty beat Sutjeska 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Kairat Almaty met Sutjeska in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 15:00 UTC at Almaty Arena. Referee: Dmitriy Panchishin.
Team pages: Kairat Almaty · Sutjeska · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 76' Goal: Lucas Áfrico (assist: Ismail Bekbolat) — 1–0
- 90' Goal: Marko Mrvaljević (assist: Deni Hočko) — 1–1
- 90+2' Goal: Marc Gual (assist: Ismail Bekbolat) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Kairat Almaty (4-2-3-1)
Sutjeska (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kairat Almaty 76%, the draw 16%, Sutjeska 8%. It finished Kairat Almaty 2–1 Sutjeska.
Kairat Almaty's rating gap decides it — Kairat Almaty are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Kairat Almaty's 76%. The draw at 16% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Kairat Almaty at 76%?
Kairat Almaty sit 385 points higher on our strength rating — 1532 to 1147. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 4,998 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 76–15–9.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 76% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 16% and Sutjeska at 8%.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,353.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Kairat Almaty and Sutjeska team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.