Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 18′Saburtalo, goal:0–1assistV. Bedoshvili
- 21′Saburtalo, penalty goal:0–2Penalty
- 28′Flora Tallinn, goal:1–2assist
- 36′Saburtalo, yellow card:V. BedoshviliUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 36′Flora Tallinn, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 36′Saburtalo, yellow card:A. DemchenkoUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 37′Saburtalo, goal disallowed:N. SikharulashviliGoal Disallowed - handball
- Half-time1 – 2
- 60′Flora Tallinn, red card:Serious foul
- 66′Flora Tallinn, substitution:off
- 71′Saburtalo, substitution:offV. Bedoshvili
- 73′Flora Tallinn, goal:2–2assist
- 75′Saburtalo, goal:2–3assist
- 80′Saburtalo, substitution:offA. Bartishvili
- 80′Saburtalo, substitution:L. ChikhradzeoffN. Sikharulashvili
- 82′Flora Tallinn, substitution:I. Antonovoff
- 82′Flora Tallinn, substitution:off
- 82′Flora Tallinn, substitution:off
- 86′Saburtalo, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Top Performers
Goals
Assists
1 assistMatch report
Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo — the facts
Saburtalo won 3–2 away against Flora Tallinn (half-time 1–2).
Flora Tallinn met Saburtalo in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at A. Le Coq Arena. Referee: Sandi Putros.
Team pages: Flora Tallinn · Saburtalo · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Zviad Natchkebia (assist: V. Bedoshvili) — 0–1
- 21' Goal (penalty): Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava — 0–2
- 28' Goal: Vladislav Kreida (assist: Tony Varjund) — 1–2
- 60' Red card: Airon Kollo
- 73' Goal: Sander Alamaa (assist: Sergei Zenjov) — 2–2
- 75' Goal: Bakar Kardava (assist: Giorgi Kutsia) — 2–3
Starting line-ups
Flora Tallinn (4-3-3)
Saburtalo (4-3-3)
- 31 Giorgi Makaridze
- 5 Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
- 25 Aleksandre Amisulashvili
- 4 Vahid Selimović
- 20 Armel Zohouri
- 8 Bakar Kardava
- 6 Nikoloz Dadiani
- 19 Nika Sikharulashvili
- 10 Zviad Natchkebia
- 24 Vakhtang Bedoshvili
- 11 Andria Bartishvili
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Flora Tallinn 39%, the draw 28%, Saburtalo 33%. It finished Flora Tallinn 2–3 Saburtalo.
Home ground outweighs Saburtalo's rating edge — Saburtalo are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Flora Tallinn the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Flora Tallinn at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Saburtalo sit 95 points higher on our strength rating — 1173 to 1268. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,415 such games.
Why only 39%?
Because Saburtalo are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Saburtalo at 33%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,550.
What did we measure but not count?
Flora Tallinn have shed 70 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,496 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Saburtalo have 19 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Flora Tallinn vs Saburtalo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Flora Tallinn and Saburtalo team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.