ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 4′Universitatea Craiova, goal:0–1assist
- 20′ML Vitebsk, goal:1–1assist
- 24′Universitatea Craiova, penalty goal:1–2Penalty
- 43′Universitatea Craiova, penalty goal:1–3Penalty
- 45+1′ML Vitebsk, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 3
- 57′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:off
- 59′ML Vitebsk, yellow card:Foul
- 63′ML Vitebsk, substitution:off
- 63′ML Vitebsk, substitution:offB. Diabate
- 67′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:C. MoraoffTeles
- 67′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:off
- 72′ML Vitebsk, substitution:off
- 76′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:A. Cretuoff
- 76′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:A. Cretuoff
- 76′Universitatea Craiova, substitution:offS. Baiaram
- 81′Universitatea Craiova, yellow card:Foul
- 84′ML Vitebsk, substitution:S. BalanovichoffI. Moskalenchik
- 90+2′ML Vitebsk, yellow card:S. BalanovichFoul
- 90+4′Universitatea Craiova, goal:1–4assistM. Etim
- Full-time1 – 4
Lineups
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Goals
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Match report
ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova — the facts
Universitatea Craiova won 4–1 away against ML Vitebsk (half-time 1–3).
ML Vitebsk met Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at Mezőkövesdi Városi Stadion. Referee: Luka Bilbija.
Team pages: ML Vitebsk · Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Ștefan Baiaram (assist: Oleksandr Romanchuk) — 0–1 · Watch Ștefan Baiaram's goal video (4')
- 20' Goal: Valeri Gromyko (assist: Valeri Bocherov) — 1–1
- 24' Goal (penalty): Assad Al Hamlawi — 1–2
- 43' Goal (penalty): Assad Al Hamlawi — 1–3
- 90+4' Goal: Steven Nsimba (assist: M. Etim) — 1–4
Starting line-ups
ML Vitebsk (4-3-3)
Universitatea Craiova (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave ML Vitebsk 18%, the draw 23%, Universitatea Craiova 59%. It finished ML Vitebsk 1–4 Universitatea Craiova.
Universitatea Craiova's rating gap outweighs ML Vitebsk's home ground — Universitatea Craiova are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Universitatea Craiova's 59%. The draw at 23% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Universitatea Craiova at 59%?
Universitatea Craiova sit 405 points higher on our strength rating — 1157 to 1561. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.8% of 5,109 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 19–25–56.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and ML Vitebsk at 18%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.2%. Not enough recent scoring data to set the goals dial — the draw stays at the class table's rate.
What did we measure but not count?
ML Vitebsk have 0 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the ML Vitebsk vs Universitatea Craiova final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from ML Vitebsk 1–4 Universitatea Craiova. Explore more on the ML Vitebsk and Universitatea Craiova team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.