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KuPS vs 14.07.26 15:002 – 3After ETAgg: 4 – 3
Vardar Skopje — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Vardar Skopje won 3–2 away against KuPS (half-time 0–0).
KuPS met Vardar Skopje in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 14 July 2026, 15:00 UTC at Savon Sanomat Areena. Referee: Matthew MacDermid.
Team pages: KuPS · Vardar Skopje · UEFA Champions League
Before kick-off Sirius gave KuPS 56%, the draw 29%, Vardar Skopje 15%. It finished KuPS 0–2 Vardar Skopje.
KuPS' rating edge, but the draw is in play — KuPS are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives KuPS a clear lead. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
KuPS sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1389 to 1273. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,544 such games. KuPS hold 8 more possession points (50 to 42 in recent games) across a 116-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,527 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–23–25.
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Vardar Skopje at 15%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 17,997. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the KuPS vs Vardar Skopje final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje. Explore more on the KuPS and Vardar Skopje team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
Vardar Skopje won 3–2 away against KuPS (half-time 0–0).
Saku Savolainen (59') (own goal) for Vardar Skopje; Goran Zakarić (90') (penalty) for Vardar Skopje; Bob Armah (100') for KuPS; Ian Puleio (102') for Vardar Skopje; Piotr Parzyszek (105') (penalty) for KuPS.
Goal highlights and video clips from KuPS 2–3 Vardar Skopje are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
KuPS and Vardar Skopje have met 1 time — 1 win for KuPS, 0 wins for Vardar Skopje and 0 draws.