Saburtalo vs 14.07.26 16:002 – 2Full TimeAgg: 5 – 4
Flora Tallinn — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn — the facts
Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn drew 2–2 (half-time 2–0).
Saburtalo met Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Champions League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Tuesday, 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium. Referee: Florjan Lata.
Team pages: Saburtalo · Flora Tallinn · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 13' Goal: N. Sikharulashvili (assist: Giorgi Kutsia) — 1–0
- 36' Goal: N. Sikharulashvili (assist: Z. Natchkebia) — 2–0
- 69' Goal: Tony Varjund (assist: Rauno Alliku) — 2–1
- 84' Goal (penalty): Rauno Sappinen — 2–2 · Watch Rauno Sappinen's goal video (84')
Starting line-ups
Saburtalo (4-3-3)
- 31 Giorgi Makaridze
- 5 Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
- 4 Vahid Selimović
- 25 Aleksandre Amisulashvili
- 20 Armel Zohouri
- 27 Giorgi Kutsia
- 6 Nikoloz Dadiani
- 8 Bakar Kardava
- 10 Zviad Natchkebia
- 10 Z. Natchkebia
- 19 N. Sikharulashvili
- 19 Nika Sikharulashvili
- 24 V. Bedoshvili
Flora Tallinn (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Saburtalo 57%, the draw 24%, Flora Tallinn 19%. It finished Saburtalo 2–2 Flora Tallinn.
Saburtalo's rating edge carries it — Saburtalo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Saburtalo's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Saburtalo at 57%?
Saburtalo sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1278 to 1163. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,544 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 48–28–24.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Flora Tallinn at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,557.
What did we measure but not count?
Flora Tallinn have shed 75 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,502 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Saburtalo have 20 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Saburtalo 2–2 Flora Tallinn. Explore more on the Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?
Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn drew 2–2 (half-time 2–0).
›Who scored in Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?
N. Sikharulashvili (13') for Saburtalo; N. Sikharulashvili (36') for Saburtalo; Tony Varjund (69') for Flora Tallinn; Rauno Sappinen (84') (penalty) for Flora Tallinn.
›Where can I watch Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Saburtalo 2–2 Flora Tallinn are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn?
Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn have met 1 time — 1 win for Saburtalo, 0 wins for Flora Tallinn and 0 draws.