PEC Zwolle vs 09.08.26 12:300 – 2Full Time
Ajax — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Ten-man PEC Zwolle sunk by late Ajax goals in Eredivisie opener
PEC Zwolle opened their Eredivisie season with a 2-0 home defeat by Ajax, a result shaped by a red card and a pair of late goals. The contest at 0-0 at half-time turned decisively when Sherel Floranus was sent off for the hosts in the 57th minute, leaving Zwolle to see out the remainder a man light.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ajax made their numerical advantage tell only in the closing stages. Jorthy Mokio broke the deadlock in the 76th minute, converting an assist from Toluwalase Arokodare to put the visitors 1-0 up. Julian Brandt added a second deep into stoppage time, finishing off a Mika Godts assist in the 90+5th minute to complete the scoring.
Ajax dominated territory and chances throughout, finishing with 69 percent possession against Zwolle's 31, and outshooting their hosts 26 to 7, with six shots on target to two. The visitors' control was underlined by an expected-goals figure of 1.54 compared with Zwolle's 0.59, while Zwolle's frustrations were reflected in twelve fouls and the second-half dismissal.
Aaron Bouwman was rated the top performer on the pitch with an 8.2 rating despite not registering a goal or assist, while goalscorer Jorthy Mokio also impressed with a 7.9 mark.
Ajax's dominance was best captured by their 26 shots to Zwolle's 7, a near fourfold advantage in attempts on goal.
Ajax won 2–0 away against PEC Zwolle (half-time 0–0).
PEC Zwolle met Ajax in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 9 August 2026, 12:30 UTC at MAC³PARK Stadion. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Team pages: PEC Zwolle · Ajax · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 57' Red card: Sherel Floranus
- 76' Goal: Jorthy Mokio (assist: Toluwalase Arokodare) — 0–1 · Watch Jorthy Mokio's goal video (76')
- 90' Goal: Julian Brandt (assist: Mika Godts) — 0–2 · Watch Julian Brandt's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
PEC Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
Ajax (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave PEC Zwolle 20%, the draw 26%, Ajax 54%. It finished PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax.
Ajax's rating gap outweighs PEC Zwolle's home ground — Ajax are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Ajax the lean. The draw at 26% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Ajax at 54%?
Ajax sit 281 points higher on our strength rating — 1486 to 1767. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,010 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims PEC Zwolle's column. Across 10,529 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–24–55.
Why only 54%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 54% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and PEC Zwolle at 20%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,752. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ajax average 13 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 281 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Last 6 between them: PEC Zwolle 0 wins, 2 draws, Ajax 4 wins. Most recently PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.0% of 5564 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the PEC Zwolle vs Ajax final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jorthy Mokio's goal against PEC Zwolle (76').
- Watch Julian Brandt's goal against PEC Zwolle (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax. Explore more on the PEC Zwolle and Ajax team pages or the Eredivisie page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Ajax won 2–0 away against PEC Zwolle (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Jorthy Mokio (76') for Ajax; Julian Brandt (90') for Ajax.
›Where can I watch PEC Zwolle vs Ajax highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and Ajax?
PEC Zwolle and Ajax have met 10 times — 0 wins for PEC Zwolle, 8 wins for Ajax and 2 draws.