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PEC Zwolle vs 29.08.26 19:001 – 3Full Time
NEC Nijmegen — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
PEC Zwolle were beaten 3-1 by NEC Nijmegen in matchday four of the Eredivisie, a result that leaves Henry Van Der Vegt's side without a win in their last four league outings while Dick Schreuder's visitors moved into the top six. The contest was played at a good tempo throughout, with the away side ruthless from the penalty spot in the first half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Tjaronn Chery opened the scoring from the spot in just the fifth minute and doubled the lead with another penalty on 23 minutes to put NEC firmly in control. PEC Zwolle pulled one back right at the end of the first half when Koen Kostons converted a penalty of his own in first-half stoppage time, making it 1-2 at the break after a half littered with spot-kicks.
The second half was tighter defensively until Perr Schuurs restored NEC's two-goal cushion in the 83rd minute, finishing from a Chery assist to make it 1-3 and seal the points. PEC Zwolle finished with three yellow cards to NEC's none, and despite edging possession at 52 percent, they could not force a way back into the match.
Tjaronn Chery scored twice from the penalty spot and set up Perr Schuurs' late third, finishing with an 8.5 rating as NEC's most influential figure on the pitch.
NEC were the more clinical side in front of goal, landing four shots on target from nine attempts compared with PEC Zwolle's two from an equal number of efforts.
NEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away against PEC Zwolle (half-time 1–2).
PEC Zwolle met NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC at MAC³PARK Stadion. Referee: Joey Kooij.
Team pages: PEC Zwolle · NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
Before kick-off Sirius gave PEC Zwolle 31%, the draw 29%, NEC Nijmegen 40%. It finished PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen.
NEC Nijmegen's rating edge outweighs PEC Zwolle's home ground — NEC Nijmegen are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives NEC Nijmegen the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
NEC Nijmegen sit 176 points higher on our strength rating — 1486 to 1663. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,107 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims PEC Zwolle's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–29–42.
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and PEC Zwolle at 31%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,900. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
NEC Nijmegen average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 176 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. PEC Zwolle have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen. Explore more on the PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen team pages or the Eredivisie page.
NEC Nijmegen won 3–1 away against PEC Zwolle (half-time 1–2).
Tjaronn Chery (5') (penalty) for NEC Nijmegen; Tjaronn Chery (23') (penalty) for NEC Nijmegen; Koen Kostons (45') (penalty) for PEC Zwolle; Perr Schuurs (83') for NEC Nijmegen.
Goal highlights and video clips from PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen have met 10 times — 1 win for PEC Zwolle, 6 wins for NEC Nijmegen and 3 draws.