Willem II vs Heerenveen — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 46′Willem II, substitution:off
- 61′Willem II, goal:1–0assist
- 62′Willem II, substitution:off
- 64′Heerenveen, goal:1–1assist
- 69′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 69′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 77′Heerenveen, goal:1–2assist
- 82′Willem II, goal:2–2assist
- 85′Willem II, substitution:off
- 85′Willem II, substitution:off
- 85′Heerenveen, substitution:off
- 87′Willem II, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Willem II
Heerenveen
Match report
Willem II claw back late leveller in 2-2 thriller with Heerenveen
Willem II and Heerenveen shared a frantic 2-2 draw at the Koning Willem II Stadion in an Eredivisie matchday 4 fixture that swung four times after the break, having been goalless at half-time. The result left Willem II 15th on one point from three matches, while Heerenveen sat ninth on five points from four.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts broke the deadlock in the 61st minute when Uriel van Aalst scored with an assist from Nathan Tjoe-A-On. Heerenveen responded almost immediately through Jacob Trenskow, set up by Dylan Vente, to level at 1-1 within three minutes. Oliver Braude then put the visitors ahead in the 77th minute, converting a Levi Smans assist to make it 1-2.
Willem II refused to yield and hauled themselves level again in the 82nd minute when Devin Haen finished off a Calvin Twigt assist to complete the 2-2 scoreline. Despite Heerenveen holding 61 percent of possession and edging the shot count 13 to 12, Willem II generated the higher expected-goals figure of the two sides at 1.7, reflecting the sharpness of their late rally.
Trenskow struck the goal that immediately cancelled out Willem II's opener and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.5, while Braude also found the net to help push Heerenveen 1-2 ahead before the hosts fought back.
Heerenveen's dominance in possession, at 61 percent to Willem II's 39, underlined how much of the match they controlled territorially despite conceding twice.
Willem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
Willem II met Heerenveen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 12:30 UTC at Koning Willem II Stadion. Referee: Jannick van der Laan.
Team pages: Willem II · Heerenveen · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 61' Goal: Uriel van Aalst (assist: Nathan Tjoe-A-On) — 1–0
- 64' Goal: Jacob Trenskow (assist: Dylan Vente) — 1–1
- 77' Goal: Oliver Braude (assist: Levi Smans) — 1–2
- 82' Goal: Devin Haen (assist: Calvin Twigt) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Willem II (4-2-3-1)
Heerenveen (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Willem II 24%, the draw 23%, Heerenveen 53%. It finished Willem II 2–2 Heerenveen.
Heerenveen's rating gap outweighs Willem II's home ground — Heerenveen are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Heerenveen the lean. The draw at 23% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Heerenveen at 53%?
Heerenveen sit 261 points higher on our strength rating — 1376 to 1638. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,053 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Willem II's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 26–23–51.
Why only 53%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 53% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Willem II at 24%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,046. The goals environment takes 2.0 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Heerenveen average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 261 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Last 6 between them: Willem II 1 win, 1 draw, Heerenveen 4 wins. Most recently Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II, 1 year ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5601 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Willem II vs Heerenveen final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Willem II and Heerenveen team pages or the Eredivisie page.