OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 25′OH Leuven, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 48′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 62′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 66′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Foul
- 70′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 70′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 71′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Foul
- 77′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 78′Cercle Brugge, substitution:off
- 81′Cercle Brugge, yellow card:Foul
- 90′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 90′Cercle Brugge, penalty goal:1–1Penalty
- 90+3′Cercle Brugge, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 90+4′OH Leuven, yellow card:Argument
- 90+5′OH Leuven, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge
Match report
OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge — the facts
OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
OH Leuven met Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Den Dreef. Referee: Bram Van Driessche.
Team pages: OH Leuven · Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Davis Opoku (assist: Siebe Schrijvers) — 1–0
- 90' Goal (penalty): Krys Kouassi — 1–1
Starting line-ups
OH Leuven (3-4-3)
Cercle Brugge (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave OH Leuven 42%, the draw 27%, Cercle Brugge 31%. It finished OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and OH Leuven's 42% is home ground and little else. The draw at 27% is what level sides usually produce.
Why OH Leuven in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1460 to 1468. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,973 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims OH Leuven's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 6 between them: OH Leuven 1 win, 1 draw, Cercle Brugge 4 wins. Most recently OH Leuven 0–2 Cercle Brugge, 9 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5628 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. OH Leuven have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 46.9% of 2438 measured games and congested visitors 28.3% of 2488 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the OH Leuven and Cercle Brugge team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.