GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 18′Ballkani, yellow card:
- 37′GAP Connah S Quay FC, yellow card:C. West
- Half-time
- 65′Ballkani, substitution:offE. Kuc
- 65′Ballkani, substitution:offA. Klinaku
- 71′Ballkani, substitution:M. IsmajlgecioffA. Diene
- 73′GAP Connah S Quay FC, substitution:F. DeaneoffC. West
- 73′GAP Connah S Quay FC, substitution:D. Stephensonoff
- 77′GAP Connah S Quay FC, yellow card:J. Jones
- 84′GAP Connah S Quay FC, yellow card:I. Murray
- 87′Ballkani, substitution:L. Dobratiqioff
- 87′Ballkani, substitution:B. Jashanicaoff
- 89′GAP Connah S Quay FC, substitution:A. HughesoffM. Stone
- 89′GAP Connah S Quay FC, substitution:H. Mehasseboff
- 90+2′Ballkani, yellow card:
- Full-time
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Formation unavailable
Ballkani
Formation unavailable
Match report
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani — the facts
GAP Connah S Quay FC and Ballkani drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
GAP Connah S Quay FC met Ballkani in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 17:30 UTC at Llanelian Road. Referee: Johann Ingi Jonsson.
Team pages: GAP Connah S Quay FC · Ballkani · UEFA Europa Conference League
Starting line-ups
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Ballkani
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave GAP Connah S Quay FC 24%, the draw 25%, Ballkani 51%. It finished GAP Connah S Quay FC 0–0 Ballkani.
Ballkani's rating gap outweighs GAP Connah S Quay FC's home ground — Ballkani are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Ballkani's 51%. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Ballkani at 51%?
Ballkani sit 235 points higher on our strength rating — 1063 to 1298. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 5,960 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–26–41.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and GAP Connah S Quay FC at 24%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,353. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
GAP Connah S Quay FC have 22 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Ballkani final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the GAP Connah S Quay FC and Ballkani team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.