FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 17′FC Differdange 03, yellow card:
- 20′FC Differdange 03, substitution:M. GrilooffJ. P. Gomes Ricciulli
- Half-time
- 62′Ilves, substitution:offY. Raap
- 62′Ilves, substitution:off
- 64′FC Differdange 03, substitution:B. MfoumouoffR. Pinto
- 64′FC Differdange 03, substitution:I. NabaisoffGustavo Vintecinco
- 65′Ilves, yellow card:
- 70′Ilves, substitution:off
- 82′FC Differdange 03, substitution:off
- 82′FC Differdange 03, substitution:S. MelhoroffE. Rivas
- 82′Ilves, substitution:off
- 82′Ilves, substitution:off
- 85′Ilves, yellow card:
- 90′Ilves, yellow card:
- Full-time
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
FC Differdange 03
Formation unavailable
Ilves
Formation unavailable
Match report
FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves — the facts
FC Differdange 03 and Ilves drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
FC Differdange 03 met Ilves in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Wednesday, 8 July 2026, 17:30 UTC at Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange. Referee: Igor Boșca.
Team pages: FC Differdange 03 · Ilves · UEFA Europa Conference League
Starting line-ups
FC Differdange 03
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Differdange 03 34%, the draw 25%, Ilves 41%. It finished FC Differdange 03 0–0 Ilves.
Ilves' rating edge outweighs FC Differdange 03's home ground — Ilves are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Ilves' 41%. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Ilves at 41%?
Ilves sit 113 points higher on our strength rating — 1156 to 1269. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,908 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–28–35.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and FC Differdange 03 at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,677. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ilves have 11 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Differdange 03 vs Ilves final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the FC Differdange 03 and Ilves team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.