FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 4′FC Levadia Tallinn, goal:1–0assist
- 20′FC Levadia Tallinn, goal:2–0assist
- 33′FC Levadia Tallinn, penalty goal:3–0Penalty
- Half-time3 – 0
- 58′Caernarfon Town, substitution:off
- 58′Caernarfon Town, substitution:offI. Lewis
- 65′FC Levadia Tallinn, yellow card:
- 65′Caernarfon Town, yellow card:
- 66′FC Levadia Tallinn, substitution:off
- 66′FC Levadia Tallinn, substitution:G. Lehtmetsoff
- 66′FC Levadia Tallinn, substitution:off
- 66′FC Levadia Tallinn, substitution:off
- 66′FC Levadia Tallinn, substitution:off
- 67′Caernarfon Town, yellow card:Foul
- 70′FC Levadia Tallinn, goal:4–0assistG. Lehtmets
- 76′Caernarfon Town, substitution:O. Zanzalaoff
- 87′Caernarfon Town, substitution:C. Evansoff
- 87′Caernarfon Town, substitution:off
- 89′FC Levadia Tallinn, goal:5–0assist
- Full-time5 – 0
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
FC Levadia Tallinn
4-3-3
Caernarfon Town
5-4-1
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
1 assistMatch report
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town — the facts
FC Levadia Tallinn beat Caernarfon Town 5–0 (half-time 3–0).
FC Levadia Tallinn met Caernarfon Town in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 16:30 UTC at A. Le Coq Arena. Referee: R. Lee.
Team pages: FC Levadia Tallinn · Caernarfon Town · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Enock Otoo (assist: Joseph Saliste) — 1–0
- 20' Goal: Wendell Gabriel (assist: Bubacarr Tambedou) — 2–0
- 33' Goal (penalty): João Pedro — 3–0
- 70' Goal: Bubacarr Tambedou (assist: G. Lehtmets) — 4–0
- 89' Goal: Mihkel Ainsalu (assist: Mark Roosnupp) — 5–0
Starting line-ups
FC Levadia Tallinn (4-3-3)
Caernarfon Town (5-4-1)
- 1 Connor Roberts
- 3 Mathew Jones
- 23 Chris Marriott
- 5 Phillip Mooney
- 4 Jordan Piggott
- 27 Ryan Sears
- 11 Adrian Cieślewicz
- 6 Iwan Lewis
- 14 Noah Edwards
- 6 Iwan Lewis
- 10 Darren Thomas
- 9 Zack Clarke
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Levadia Tallinn 57%, the draw 24%, Caernarfon Town 19%. It finished FC Levadia Tallinn 5–0 Caernarfon Town.
FC Levadia Tallinn's rating edge carries it — FC Levadia Tallinn are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Levadia Tallinn's 57%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why FC Levadia Tallinn at 57%?
FC Levadia Tallinn sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1147 to 1012. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,547 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 53–22–25.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Caernarfon Town at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. Not enough recent scoring data to set the goals dial — the draw stays at the class table's rate.
What did we measure but not count?
Caernarfon Town have 5 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Levadia Tallinn vs Caernarfon Town final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the FC Levadia Tallinn and Caernarfon Town team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.