Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 11′AF Elbasani, yellow card:Y. Epitaux
- 17′Bate Borisov, yellow card:
- 42′Bate Borisov, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Bate Borisov, substitution:offK. Kaplenko
- 59′Bate Borisov, substitution:E. RusakovoffN. Bochko
- 59′Bate Borisov, substitution:V. YatskevichoffE. Puerto
- 73′Bate Borisov, yellow card:V. Yatskevich
- 76′AF Elbasani, substitution:offA. Nikaj
- 76′AF Elbasani, substitution:A. LleshioffR. Hebaj
- 77′AF Elbasani, yellow card:I. Diallo
- 82′Bate Borisov, substitution:P. DubovskiyoffI. Mikhnyuk
- Full-time
- 95′AF Elbasani, substitution:A. KasaoffM. Barjamaj
- 95′AF Elbasani, substitution:offL. Tresa
- 105+3′AF Elbasani, substitution:I. BoyeoffI. Diallo
- Half-time · E.T.
- 106′Bate Borisov, substitution:Y. Khramtsevichoff
Bate Borisov5
AF Elbasani4Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Bate Borisov
Formation unavailable
AF Elbasani
Formation unavailable
Match report
Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani — the facts
Bate Borisov and AF Elbasani drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0). Bate Borisov won the penalty shootout 5–4.
Bate Borisov met AF Elbasani in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Referee: Daniyar Sakhi.
Team pages: Bate Borisov · AF Elbasani · UEFA Europa Conference League
Starting line-ups
Bate Borisov
AF Elbasani
- 17 Abbas Ibrahim
- 25 L. Tresa
- 24 Igor Aleksovski
- 15 Y. Epitaux
- 77 B. Lila
- 4 B. Lulaj
- 14 Mario Barjamaj
- 79 I. Diallo
- 9 Rubin Hebaj
- 11 K. Kasa
- 10 Ardit Nikaj
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bate Borisov 64%, the draw 21%, AF Elbasani 15%. It finished Bate Borisov 0–0 AF Elbasani.
Bate Borisov's rating gap decides it — Bate Borisov are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Bate Borisov's 64%. The draw at 21% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Bate Borisov at 64%?
Bate Borisov sit 275 points higher on our strength rating — 1472 to 1197. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,861 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–21–16.
Why only 64%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 64% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 21% and AF Elbasani at 15%.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.6%. Not enough recent scoring data to set the goals dial — the draw stays at the class table's rate.
What did we measure but not count?
AF Elbasani have 1 fully-tracked match with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bate Borisov vs AF Elbasani final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Bate Borisov and AF Elbasani team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.