Birmingham vs Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 32′Birmingham, yellow card:Off the ball foul
- 33′Bristol City, goal:0–1
- 42′Birmingham, own goal:1–1Own goal
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 62′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 62′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 65′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 65′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 71′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 71′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 78′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 84′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 85′Bristol City, goal:1–2assist
- 90′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 90+5′Birmingham, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- 90+6′Bristol City, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Birmingham
Bristol City
Match report
Late Solis strike rescues point for Birmingham against Bristol City
Birmingham and Bristol City shared eight goals' worth of drama in a 2-2 draw in the Championship, a result that leaves both sides still searching for consistency early in the season. The point was earned deep into stoppage time after Birmingham had trailed for much of the second half, in a Regular Season - 2 fixture played on 22 August 2026.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Scott Twine put Bristol City ahead in the 33rd minute, finishing to give the visitors a deserved lead at the break. Birmingham levelled almost immediately before half-time when Sam Tickle turned the ball into his own net in the 42nd minute, sending the sides in level at 1-1 at the interval.
The contest looked settled when Dominic Ballard restored Bristol City's advantage in the 85th minute, converting an assist from Rio Cardines to make it 2-1. But Birmingham refused to yield, and Jhon Solis struck in the 89th minute to secure a 2-2 draw and deny the visitors what would have been a first win in three attempts.
Despite dominating territory with 63% of possession, Birmingham managed only four shots, while Bristol City created far more from fewer touches, registering 11 attempts and three on target to Birmingham's one.
Twine scored the opening goal and carried a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch, while Cardines also impressed by setting up Ballard's late go-ahead strike.
Bristol City managed 11 shots to Birmingham's four despite having just 37% of the ball, reflecting their greater efficiency in front of goal.
Birmingham and Bristol City drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Birmingham met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at St. Andrew's Stadium. Referee: Will Finnie.
Team pages: Birmingham · Bristol City · Championship
Key moments
- 33' Goal: Scott Twine — 0–1 · Watch Scott Twine's goal video (33')
- 42' Goal (own goal): Sam Tickle — 1–1 · Watch Sam Tickle's goal video (42')
- 85' Goal: Dom Ballard (assist: Rio Cardines) — 1–2 · Watch Dom Ballard's goal video (85')
- 90+5' Goal (penalty): Demarai Gray — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Birmingham 39%, the draw 35%, Bristol City 26%. It finished Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Birmingham's 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 35% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Birmingham in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1485 to 1445. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,483 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Birmingham's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,367 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Bristol City win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,110. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Birmingham's last five: W-D-W-D — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2186 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3996 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Birmingham vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Scott Twine's goal against Birmingham (33').
- Watch Sam Tickle's own goal video (42').
- Watch Dom Ballard's goal against Birmingham (85').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Birmingham 2–2 Bristol City. Explore more on the Birmingham and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.