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- 45+1′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Bolton, substitution:off
- 59′Bolton, substitution:off
- 59′Bolton, substitution:off
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 62′QPR, substitution:off
- 67′Bolton, substitution:off
- 73′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- 75′QPR, yellow card:Foul
- 76′QPR, substitution:off
- Full-time
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QPR
Bolton
Match report
QPR held to goalless draw by resolute Bolton at Loftus Road
QPR and Bolton played out a goalless draw in a Championship round two fixture at Loftus Road, leaving both sides level on four points from two games. The match produced no goals or cards worth noting in the events list, with Julien Stephan's hosts unable to find a breakthrough against Steven Schumacher's visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
QPR dominated territory and chances, holding 54 percent of possession and forcing six shots to Bolton's solitary effort, four of which were on target compared to none for the visitors. Their expected goals figure of 0.49 against Bolton's 0.04 underlined the gulf in attacking threat, yet the hosts could not convert their superiority into a goal.
Bolton, who also picked up two corners to QPR's own tally of two, defended stoutly and left with a share of the points despite offering little going forward. The result kept QPR third and Bolton fourth in the table, both level on points after two matches played.
Jack Bonham was Bolton's top-rated performer with a 7.0 rating, playing his part in a defence that kept QPR off the scoresheet despite facing four shots on target.
QPR's expected goals reading of 0.49 against Bolton's 0.04 reflected how one-sided the chance creation was, even though the scoreline stayed level.
QPR and Bolton drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
QPR met Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at Loftus Road Stadium. Referee: Edward Duckworth.
Team pages: QPR · Bolton · Championship
Starting line-ups
QPR (4-2-3-1)
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave QPR 55%, the draw 26%, Bolton 19%. It finished QPR 0–0 Bolton.
QPR's rating edge carries it — QPR are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of QPR's 55%. The draw at 26% is up from the usual 24.2% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why QPR at 55%?
QPR sit 122 points higher on our strength rating — 1444 to 1322. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,723 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 55–23–22.
Why only 55%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims QPR's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,367 games vs 44.9% across all 99,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,962. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
QPR scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,779 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Bolton are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the QPR vs Bolton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from QPR 0–0 Bolton. Explore more on the QPR and Bolton team pages or the Championship page.