Wolves vs 29.08.26 11:304 – 1Full Time
Stoke City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Wolves hit four to sweep aside early Stoke lead
Wolves came from behind to thrash Stoke City 4-1 at Molineux Stadium in a Championship fixture that stretched their unbeaten start to the season. Samuel Gallagher shocked the hosts after just two minutes, converting to put Stoke ahead, but the response from Cesar Peixoto's side was swift and emphatic.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Rodrigo Gomes levelled in the 19th minute and struck again three minutes later to turn the contest around, sending Wolves into the break 2-1 up having trailed early on. Raúl Jiménez added a third from the penalty spot in the 55th minute, and Jordan James, teed up by Fer López, completed the scoring in the 84th minute to make it 4-1.
Wolves dominated proceedings throughout, edging possession 52 to 48 percent and outshooting their visitors 18 to 10, with eight efforts on target compared to Stoke's three. Stoke were also the more heavily booked side, picking up four yellow cards to Wolves' one, as Mark Robins's team struggled to contain the hosts after their bright opening.
Rodrigo Gomes scored twice inside four minutes either side of the midway point of the first half, turning a goal down into a commanding lead and finishing with an 8.7 rating, the highest of the match.
Wolves' 18 shots to Stoke's 10 underlined their control of the contest at Molineux Stadium.
Wolves beat Stoke City 4–1 (half-time 2–1).
Wolves met Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Molineux Stadium. Referee: Tom Nield.
Team pages: Wolves · Stoke City · Championship
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Sam Gallagher — 0–1 · Watch Sam Gallagher's goal video (2')
- 19' Goal: Rodrigo Gomes — 1–1 · Watch Rodrigo Gomes's goal video (19')
- 22' Goal: Rodrigo Gomes — 2–1 · Watch Rodrigo Gomes's goal video (22')
- 55' Goal (penalty): Raúl Jiménez — 3–1
- 84' Goal: Jordan James (assist: Fer López) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
- 1 José Sá
- 3 Hugo Bueno
- 24 Toti Gomes (c)
- 34 Nasser Djiga
- 38 Jackson Tchatchoua
- 5 Marshall Munetsi
- 7 André
- 36 Mateus Mane
- 28 Fer López
- 21 Rodrigo Gomes
- 9 Raúl Jiménez
Stoke City (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Wolves 68%, the draw 23%, Stoke City 9%. It finished Wolves 4–1 Stoke City.
Wolves' rating gap decides it — Wolves are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Wolves' 68%. The draw at 23% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Wolves at 68%?
Wolves sit 312 points higher on our strength rating — 1701 to 1389. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,099 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–19–10.
Why only 68%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Wolves's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,380 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,679. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 5 between them: Wolves 1 win, 0 draws, Stoke City 4 wins. Most recently Wolves 0–1 Stoke City, 6 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5593 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. Wolves's last five: D-W-D-W-W — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 6. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2195 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 4007 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Wolves vs Stoke City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Sam Gallagher's goal against Wolves (2').
- Watch Rodrigo Gomes's goal against Stoke City (19').
- Watch Rodrigo Gomes's goal against Stoke City (22').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Wolves 4–1 Stoke City. Explore more on the Wolves and Stoke City team pages or the Championship page.