Derby vs Sat 29 Aug11:30 ScheduledSwansea — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis

Over 1.5 Goals. League base rate: 80% over 1.5 goals On the other hand: Class gap (45 Elo points) — Matches with this rating gap ran −1.4pp vs their league norm at this line across 14,253 measured games.

Under 3.5 Goals. League base rate: 27% over 3.5 goals On the other hand: Team over/under identity — Derby have gone over 3.5 in 26% of their last 38 matches and Swansea in 21% of their last 38, against a league ra

Over 2.5 Goals. League base rate: 53% over 2.5 goals On the other hand: Class gap (45 Elo points) — Matches with this rating gap ran −1.8pp vs their league norm across 14,253 measured games.

Both Teams to Score. League base rate: 60% both teams score

Derby to Score. League base rate: 80% home sides score

Swansea sit 9th; Derby 18th (ELC · 2 matches played) Derby without key forward Samuel Szmodics Swansea in stronger form — 2.2 vs 0.8 ppg (n=5) Away has won 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings

Model-generated pre-match read. Not betting advice.

On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Derby vs Swansea, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Championship fixture kicks off.

• Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
• Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
• Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
• Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.

Explore more on the Derby and Swansea team pages or the Championship page.