Southampton vs 29.08.26 14:005 – 1Full Time
Millwall — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Southampton overturn early deficit to thrash Millwall 5-1
Southampton produced a five-goal response to overturn an early setback and beat Millwall 5-1 in a Championship fixture at matchday three. Mark Sykes had put the visitors ahead inside 15 minutes, but the home side hit back with four goals either side of half-time to seal a comprehensive win.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cyle Larin levelled in the 25th minute, converting an assist from Ryan Manning, before Finn Azaz put Southampton ahead in the 38th minute with Léo Scienza supplying the pass, sending the sides in at 2-1. Southampton never let up after the break: Scienza converted a penalty in the 55th minute, Larin added his second in the 62nd minute assisted by Azaz, and Tom Fellows completed the scoring in the 86th minute.
Southampton's control was evident throughout, with 54% possession and 21 shots to Millwall's 14, seven of them on target compared with the visitors' five. The home side also won the corner count 8 to 11 in Millwall's favour, though it was the finishing that ultimately separated the sides on the day.
Finn Azaz scored once and set up another for a rating of 9.0, the highest of any player on the pitch, while Cyle Larin's brace also proved decisive in Southampton's rout.
Southampton's 21 shots to Millwall's 14 reflected the home side's dominance in front of goal throughout the match.
Southampton beat Millwall 5–1 (half-time 2–1).
Southampton met Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Adam Herczeg.
Team pages: Southampton · Millwall · Championship
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Mark Sykes — 0–1
- 25' Goal: Cyle Larin (assist: Ryan Manning) — 1–1
- 38' Goal: Finn Azaz (assist: Léo Scienza) — 2–1
- 55' Goal (penalty): Léo Scienza — 3–1
- 62' Goal: Cyle Larin (assist: Finn Azaz) — 4–1 · Watch Cyle Larin's goal video (62')
- 86' Goal: Tom Fellows — 5–1
Starting line-ups
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Millwall (4-3-3)
- 15 Max Crocombe
- 3 Zak Sturge
- 5 Jake Cooper (c)
- 6 Caleb Taylor
- 17 Mark Sykes
- 14 J. Metcalfe
- 14 Jenson Metcalfe
- 24 Casper De Norre
- 10 Camiel Neghli
- 22 Kyrell Lisbie
- 19 Josh Coburn
- 7 Taïryk Arconte
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 42%, the draw 32%, Millwall 26%. It finished Southampton 5–1 Millwall.
Southampton's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Southampton are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Southampton's 42%. The draw at 32% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Southampton at 42%?
Southampton sit 61 points higher on our strength rating — 1664 to 1604. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,384 such games.
Why only 42%?
Millwall sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.5% of 1,326 games, vs 28.9% for visitors finishing normally. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Southampton's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Millwall win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,679. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Millwall are missing 3 regular starters — Oluwafemi Azeez, Tristan Crama, Ryan Leonard — about 26% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Southampton vs Millwall final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 5–1 Millwall. Explore more on the Southampton and Millwall team pages or the Championship page.