Derby vs 12.09.26 11:301 – 2Full Time
Birmingham — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Birmingham fight back to sink Derby at Pride Park
Derby suffered another home defeat in the Championship as Birmingham came from behind to win 2-1 at Pride Park. Bobby Clark had given the hosts a first-half lead, but Carlos Vicente levelled within two minutes and Paik Seung-Ho added a second midway through the second half to complete the turnaround.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Clark broke the deadlock in the 40th minute, finishing off a Samuel Szmodics assist to put Derby ahead, but the advantage lasted barely 120 seconds. Vicente restored parity almost immediately, converting a Liam Millar assist to make it 1-1 at the break, a scoreline that reflected a tightly contested opening period.
Birmingham took control after half-time and were rewarded in the 63rd minute when Paik struck again with Millar's help, this time turning the game in the visitors' favour for good. Derby dominated possession and territory but could not force a way back, leaving Birmingham to close out the win.
Derby had the greater share of the ball and produced more corners, yet it was Birmingham who made their attacking moments count, converting clear-cut chances at key moments while their hosts pressed in vain for an equaliser.
Liam Millar supplied both assists in Birmingham's comeback, setting up Vicente's equaliser and then Paik's winner to earn the outstanding rating on the pitch.
Derby enjoyed 59% of possession but were undone by Birmingham's greater efficiency in front of goal, managing nine shots on target to Derby's four despite an even split in total attempts.
Birmingham won 2–1 away against Derby (half-time 1–1).
Derby met Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC at Pride Park Stadium. Referee: John Busby.
Team pages: Derby · Birmingham · Championship
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Bobby Clark (assist: Samuel Szmodics) — 1–0 · Watch Bobby Clark's goal video (40')
- 42' Goal: Carlos Vicente (assist: Liam Millar) — 1–1
- 64' Goal: Paik Seung-Ho (assist: Liam Millar) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Derby 42%, the draw 28%, Birmingham 30%. It finished Derby 1–2 Birmingham.
Level sides, home ground counts for less here — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Derby's 42% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Derby in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1445 to 1488. Sides this close won 43.1% of 15,973 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,425 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,048. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Derby are missing 3 regular starters — Samuel Szmodics, Lewis Travis, Carlton Morris — about 31% of their usual starting-XI weight. Our measured receipt covers one-sided absences only, and the picture here isn't one-sided — both squads are short.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Derby vs Birmingham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Derby 1–2 Birmingham. Explore more on the Derby and Birmingham team pages or the Championship page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Derby vs Birmingham?
Birmingham won 2–1 away against Derby (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in Derby vs Birmingham?
Bobby Clark (40') for Derby; Carlos Vicente (42') for Birmingham; Paik Seung-Ho (64') for Birmingham.
›Where can I watch Derby vs Birmingham highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Derby 1–2 Birmingham are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Birmingham?
Derby and Birmingham have met 10 times — 5 wins for Derby, 2 wins for Birmingham and 3 draws.