Southampton vs Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
- 38′Southampton, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Southampton, substitution:off
- 54′Bristol City, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 59′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 61′Southampton, goal:2–0
- 61′Bristol City, yellow card:Dissent
- 66′Bristol City, goal:2–1assist
- 69′Southampton, substitution:off
- 77′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 78′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 78′Southampton, substitution:off
- 82′Southampton, goal:3–1assist
- 83′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 85′Southampton, goal:4–1assist
- 88′Southampton, substitution:off
- 88′Southampton, substitution:off
- 89′Bristol City, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time4 – 1
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Southampton
Bristol City
Match report
Southampton hit four as Larin double sinks Bristol City
Southampton eased to a 4-1 win over Bristol City in a Championship round 7 fixture, moving Tonda Eckert's side up to second in the table with 14 points from seven games. Bristol City, sitting tenth after six matches, were unable to build on a run of three straight wins earlier in the season.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cyle Larin opened the scoring in the 38th minute, finishing an assist from Finn Azaz to give the hosts a half-time lead. Larin doubled his tally in the 61st minute before Lorent Tolaj pulled one back for Bristol City four minutes later, converting a Rio Cardines assist to make it 2-1.
Southampton pulled away in the closing stages. Kuryu Matsuki restored the two-goal cushion in the 82nd minute, teed up again by Azaz, and Azaz himself completed the scoring three minutes later with Divin Mubama supplying the assist, sealing a 4-1 victory.
Larin scored twice to lead Southampton's attack, while Azaz contributed a goal and two assists in a highly influential display.
Southampton had 21 shots to Bristol City's 10, underlining their dominance in front of goal.
Southampton beat Bristol City 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Southampton met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Sam Allison.
Team pages: Southampton · Bristol City · Championship
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Cyle Larin (assist: Finn Azaz) — 1–0
- 61' Goal: Cyle Larin — 2–0
- 66' Goal: Lorent Tolaj (assist: Rio Cardines) — 2–1
- 82' Goal: Kuryu Matsuki (assist: Finn Azaz) — 3–1
- 85' Goal: Finn Azaz (assist: Divin Mubama) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 66%, the draw 21%, Bristol City 13%. It finished Southampton 4–1 Bristol City.
Southampton's rating gap decides it — Southampton are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Southampton's 66%. The draw at 21% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Southampton at 66%?
Southampton sit 205 points higher on our strength rating — 1689 to 1485. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,992 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 69–16–15.
Why only 66%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,425 games vs 44.9% across all 100,077 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,048. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Southampton average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 205 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Southampton scored +0.35 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,853 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Southampton vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 4–1 Bristol City. Explore more on the Southampton and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.