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Cadiz vs 15.08.26 17:000 – 0Full Time
Celta de Vigo II — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Cadiz met Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Nuevo Mirandilla. Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo.
Team pages: Cadiz · Celta de Vigo II · Segunda División
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cadiz 31%, the draw 29%, Celta de Vigo II 40%. It finished Cadiz 0–0 Celta de Vigo II.
Celta de Vigo II's rating edge outweighs Cadiz's home ground — Celta de Vigo II are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Celta de Vigo II the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Celta de Vigo II sit 152 points higher on our strength rating — 1423 to 1575. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,044 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Cadiz's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–27–43.
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Cadiz at 31%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
Celta de Vigo II are newly promoted — game 1 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II team pages or the Segunda División page.
Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Neither side scored — the match finished 0–0.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.