HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 16′Almeria, goal:1–0assist
- 27′Almeria, goal:2–0assist
- 45+1′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 46′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 53′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- 54′Almeria, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 64′Almeria, substitution:off
- 64′Almeria, substitution:off
- 69′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 75′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- 78′Almeria, substitution:off
- 82′Almeria, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 87′Oviedo, goal:2–1
- 90′Oviedo, own goal:2–2Own goal
- 90+2′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time2 – 2
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Almeria
Oviedo
Match report
Almeria throw away two-goal lead as Oviedo snatch late draw
Almeria's run of seven wins in a row ended at UD Almería Stadium, where Oviedo came from two goals down to draw 2-2 in a Segunda División Matchday 11 fixture. The hosts had looked comfortable at the interval, but they were pegged back by two goals in the final four minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Almeria made the brighter start. Sergio Arribas put them ahead in the 16th minute, finishing from a Quim Junyent assist, and Miguel de la Fuente doubled the lead in the 27th, set up by Álex Muñoz. The home side led 2-0 at half-time.
Oviedo dominated the second half, holding 60 per cent of possession and having 20 shots to Almeria's 7. Their pressure told in the 87th minute, when Jacobo González pulled one back, and three minutes later Almeria's Jorge Pulido turned the ball into his own net in the 90th minute to level it at 2-2.
The point left Almeria top of the table on 25 points, seven clear of eighth-placed Oviedo, who have 18. Almeria are now unbeaten in eight games. Almeria travel to Castellonense in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, and Oviedo visit Numancia in the same competition on Wednesday.
Sergio Arribas opened the scoring in the 16th minute and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch, 8.1. Andrés Fernández followed on 7.85 and De la Fuente, who also scored, on 7.73.
Oviedo had 20 shots to Almeria's 7, a gap that reflected how heavily the second half tilted towards the visitors.
Almeria and Oviedo drew 2–2 (half-time 2–0).
Almeria met Oviedo in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at UD Almería Stadium. Referee: Germán Cid.
Team pages: Almeria · Oviedo · Segunda División
Key moments
- 16' Goal: Sergio Arribas (assist: Quim Junyent) — 1–0
- 27' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente (assist: Álex Muñoz) — 2–0
- 87' Goal: Jacobo González — 2–1
- 90' Goal (own goal): Jorge Pulido — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Oviedo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Almeria 46%, the draw 29%, Oviedo 25%. It finished Almeria 2–2 Oviedo.
Almeria's rating edge, trimmed by finishing streaks — Almeria lead because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1602 to 1538, with home advantage on top, though Oviedo's cold finishing, about 0.51 goals per game below their chances, pulls against that since streaks like it have bounced back. The draw starts at 27%, the usual rate for this gap, and finishing streaks plus a typical 2.5-goal scoring pattern in each side's recent games lift it to 29%.
Why Almeria at 46%?
Almeria sit 64 points higher on our strength rating — 1602 to 1538. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,069 such games. Almeria hold 6 more possession points (55 to 49 in recent games) across a 64-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 9,292 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why only 46%?
Oviedo sit -0.51 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,642 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Almeria scored +0.52 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,643 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Oviedo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. The bounce-back factor adds 1.2 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Almeria are unbeaten in their 5 home Segunda División games this season: 5 wins and 0 draws. Season's home results covered: 17 August 2026 to 11 October 2026 (UTC dates). Latest home result: 11 October 2026 — Almeria 3–0 Leganes. Across 5,295 historical matches involving hosts unbeaten at home that season after at least five home games, those hosts won 59.3%, compared with 56.3% expected from team strength. Oviedo won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Almeria. The record is 3 wins for Oviedo, 2 draws and 1 win for Almeria. These were 6 Segunda División games played between 20 August 2021 and 11 June 2025. Oviedo are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings between the sides (3 wins, 2 draws), a run going back to January 2022. Latest meeting: 11 June 2025 — Oviedo 1–1 Almeria. In 6,072 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Almeria vs Oviedo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Almeria 2–2 Oviedo. Explore more on the Almeria and Oviedo team pages or the Segunda División page.