Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 45+1′AD Ceuta FC, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- 45+3′Cadiz, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 49′Cadiz, yellow card:Foul
- 51′Cadiz, goal:1–1assist
- 64′Cadiz, yellow card:Handball
- 65′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 70′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Cadiz, penalty goal:2–1Penalty
- 75′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 75′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 75′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 81′Cadiz, yellow card:Argument
- 81′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Argument
- 83′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 83′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 83′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 88′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 89′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 90+1′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:José Juan Romero GilDissent
- 90+2′Cadiz, yellow card:Foul
- 90+3′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Cadiz, goal:3–1assist
- Full-time3 – 1
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Cadiz
AD Ceuta FC
Match report
Cadiz come from behind to beat AD Ceuta FC 3-1 at Nuevo Mirandilla
Cadiz recovered from a half-time deficit to beat AD Ceuta FC 3-1 in Segunda División matchday 11 at Nuevo Mirandilla. The visitors led at the break through a penalty, but the hosts scored three times after the restart to collect their first win in three league games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Yann Bodiger put Ceuta in front from the spot in first-half stoppage time, the 45+1 minute. Cadiz levelled six minutes after the interval, Ibon Sánchez finishing from Antonio Cordero's assist. Cordero then took responsibility himself, converting a penalty in the 71st minute to make it 2-1.
Borja Vazquez settled it deep into stoppage time, scoring in the 90+5 minute from Álvaro García Pascual's assist. Ceuta, who had enjoyed 68% of the possession, have now lost 3 games in a row.
The result lifted Cadiz from 20th to 18th on 10 points, while Ceuta stayed 21st on 5. Both sides play away in the Copa del Rey on Wednesday, Cadiz against Xerez and Ceuta against Poblense.
Ibon Sánchez, rated 7.6, was the top performer after scoring the equaliser that turned the match for Cadiz shortly after half-time.
Ceuta forced ten corners to Cadiz's three, yet still lost.
Cadiz beat AD Ceuta FC 3–1 (half-time 0–1).
Cadiz met AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:15 UTC at JP Financial Estadio. Referee: Andrés Fuentes.
Team pages: Cadiz · AD Ceuta FC · Segunda División
Key moments
- 45+1' Goal (penalty): Yann Bodiger — 0–1
- 51' Goal: Ibon Sánchez (assist: Antonio Cordero) — 1–1
- 71' Goal (penalty): Antonio Cordero — 2–1
- 90+5' Goal: Borja Vazquez (assist: Álvaro García Pascual) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Cadiz (4-4-2)
AD Ceuta FC (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cadiz 37%, the draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC 35%. It finished Cadiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC.
Home advantage edges a near-even contest — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Cadiz's usual home advantage puts them narrowly in front at 37%, though AD Ceuta FC's cold finishing, a streak that tends to bounce back, keeps them close at 35%. The draw sits at 28%, near the usual rate for sides this level, nudged up by that finishing streak.
Why Cadiz in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1357 to 1384. Sides this close won 42.4% of 15,614 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 37%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. AD Ceuta FC sit -0.58 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,652 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,185. The bounce-back factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
AD Ceuta FC have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,371 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Cadiz come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals, 20 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cadiz 3–1 AD Ceuta FC. Explore more on the Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC team pages or the Segunda División page.