Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 26′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 36′RED Star FC 93, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 58′Nantes, substitution:off
- 58′RED Star FC 93, substitution:off
- 63′Nantes, substitution:off
- 65′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 67′RED Star FC 93, goal:0–1assist
- 71′RED Star FC 93, substitution:off
- 71′RED Star FC 93, substitution:off
- 75′Nantes, yellow card:M. Der ZakarianUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 77′RED Star FC 93, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Nantes, substitution:off
- 79′Nantes, substitution:off
- 90+1′RED Star FC 93, substitution:off
- 90+4′RED Star FC 93, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
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Nantes
RED Star FC 93
Match report
Nantes vs RED Star FC 93 — the facts
RED Star FC 93 won 1–0 away against Nantes (half-time 0–0).
Nantes met RED Star FC 93 in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 8 August 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade de la Beaujoire. Referee: Benoît Millot.
Team pages: Nantes · RED Star FC 93 · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 67' Goal: Kévin Cabral (assist: Elyaz Zidane) — 0–1 · Watch Kévin Cabral's goal video (67')
Starting line-ups
Nantes (5-3-2)
RED Star FC 93 (4-1-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nantes 45%, the draw 31%, RED Star FC 93 24%. It finished Nantes 0–1 RED Star FC 93.
Nantes' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Nantes are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Nantes' 45%. The draw at 31% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Nantes at 45%?
Nantes sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 1592 to 1513. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,332 such games.
Why only 45%?
RED Star FC 93 hold 11 more possession points (52 to 41 in recent games) across a 79-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,562 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Nantes's column. Across 10,505 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the RED Star FC 93 win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,507. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nantes sit -0.62 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nantes vs RED Star FC 93 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Nantes 0–1 RED Star FC 93. Explore more on the Nantes and RED Star FC 93 team pages or the Ligue 2 page.

