Match Events
- 4′Nantes, goal:1–0assist
- 7′Rodez, yellow card:Foul
- 15′Rodez, goal:1–1assist
- 24′Nantes, goal:2–1assist
- 45+3′Nantes, substitution:off
- Half-time2 – 1
- 47′Rodez, goal:2–2
- 55′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 63′Rodez, substitution:off
- 63′Rodez, substitution:off
- 68′Rodez, yellow card:Foul
- 69′Nantes, substitution:off
- 69′Nantes, substitution:off
- 69′Nantes, substitution:off
- 71′Rodez, goal:2–3assist
- 72′Rodez, goal:2–4assist
- 73′Rodez, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 74′Rodez, substitution:off
- 74′Rodez, substitution:off
- 76′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Rodez, substitution:off
- 87′Nantes, substitution:off
- 90′Rodez, own goal:2–5Own goal
- Full-time2 – 5
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Nantes
Rodez
Match report
Baldé hat-trick sinks Nantes as Rodez run riot at Beaujoire
Nantes lost 5-2 to Rodez in a Ligue 2 fixture at the Stade de la Beaujoire, a result that leaves Michel Der Zakarian's side without a win this season while Didier Santini's Rodez continue to climb the table. The home side actually led twice in an eventful first half before the visitors turned the contest on its head after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Killian Corredor put Nantes ahead in the fourth minute, assisted by Mathieu Cafaro, only for Ibrahima Baldé to level for Rodez shortly after with Ryan Ponti supplying the pass. Corredor restored the home advantage before half-time, converting a chance created by Wilitty Younoussa, and Nantes went in leading 2-1 at the interval.
The second half belonged entirely to Rodez. Ponti equalised early after the restart, and Baldé then struck twice in quick succession, both goals set up by Raphael Lipinski, to put the visitors 4-2 ahead. Deep into stoppage time, an own goal from Saïdou Sow completed the rout, sealing a 5-2 win for Rodez.
Ibrahima Baldé scored a hat-trick for Rodez, including two goals within a minute of each other in the second half, and was rated the outstanding performer of the match with a 10.0 rating.
Despite finishing on the wrong end of the scoreline, Nantes had the greater share of possession at 59 percent to Rodez's 41.
Rodez won 5–2 away against Nantes (half-time 2–1).
Nantes met Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC at Stade de la Beaujoire. Referee: Ahmed Taleb.
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Killian Corredor (assist: Mathieu Cafaro) — 1–0
- 15' Goal: Ibrahima Baldé (assist: Ryan Ponti) — 1–1
- 24' Goal: Killian Corredor (assist: Wilitty Younoussa) — 2–1
- 47' Goal: Ryan Ponti — 2–2
- 71' Goal: Ibrahima Baldé (assist: Raphael Lipinski) — 2–3
- 72' Goal: Ibrahima Baldé (assist: Raphael Lipinski) — 2–4
- 90' Goal (own goal): Saïdou Sow — 2–5
Starting line-ups
Nantes (4-1-4-1)
Rodez (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nantes 39%, the draw 32%, Rodez 29%. It finished Nantes 2–5 Rodez.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Nantes' 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 32% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Nantes in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1579 to 1609. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,803 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Nantes's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Rodez win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,110. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nantes sit -0.62 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Rodez's last five: W-W-D-W-L — clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2186 games when clearly hotter and 42.9% of 3996 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nantes vs Rodez final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Nantes and Rodez team pages or the Ligue 2 page.